Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils Point Spread Pick

By Rich Crew
Date: 14/11/2015 12:00 pm
Location: Wallace Wade Stadium
TV:

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Duke -3
Total: 51

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In Week 11 action we have the Pittsburgh Panthers heading to North Carolina to battle the Duke Blue Devils. The kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 PM ET at Wallace Wade Stadium on Saturday November 13, 2015. The Blue Devils opened as a -4 point spread favorite with the total at 51.5.

Pittsburgh dropped their last game at home 40-32 to Notre Dame as a nine point underdog. The 12 point margin gave the Panthers their third straight against the spread and their second consecutive loss. The combined total of 72 points scored soared over the 53 point line for their first OVER in three games.

Duke was crushed 66-31 on the road at North Carolina as a 7 point underdog. The loss was their second consecutive straight up and ATS loss. The 94 points scored was the Blue Devils third OVER in a row after going UNDER the total line in their first six games.

These two clubs have met twice with both matches coming in the last two seasons. The away team has gone 2-0, but Duke Bettors got the money in both contests. The two squads amassed a total of 212 points sending meetings well over the O/U line.

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Here are some general statistics on each team.

The Panthers defense is their strength ranking a mediocre 51st in scoring, but strong numbers in other categories such as 28th in total yards and 31st in passing yards. Offensively, Pittsburgh ranks 84th in scoring, 95th in passing and 72nd in rushing.

The Blue Devils on paper have strong numbers but are a mirage as I mentioned last week Duke/UNC, so putting too much weight on these may be a big mistake. Duke ranks 47th in scoring offense, 34th in rushing and 54th in passing. On the other side of the ball the Blue Devils ranks 33rd in scoring defense, 30th in total yards, 29th in rushing and 49th in passing.

Sagarin Rankings

Pittsburgh: 76.79
Duke: 76:06

Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends/Angles

  • Pittsburgh is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games overall.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games overall.
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Duke is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games overall.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Duke’s last 9 games
  • Duke is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Duke’s last 5 games at home.

Pittsburgh Panthers at Duke Blue Devils Point Spread Pick

I mentioned last week how poor the Duke defense is when facing a team with a balanced attack and that rung true as they found themselves on the wrong side of a 66-31 spanking. They meet another team with a balanced offense this week and while I don’t think we’ll see the same type of margin I do believe that the Panthers can win this game. The points are a bonus.

Free Pick: Take the Pittsburgh Panthers +3 -RC
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