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Oakland Raiders at Miami Dolphins Point Spread Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By David Schwab
Date: 05/11/2017 8:30 pm
Location: Hard Rock Stadium
TV: CBS Sports

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Oakland -3
Total: 44

The 3-5 Oakland Raiders and the 4-3 Miami Dolphins are each looking for redemption coming off a bad loss last week when they square off against one another this Sunday night in an AFC tilt at Hard Rock Stadium. Game time on NBC is set for 8:30 p.m. (ET).

Oakland at Miami Game Overview

Oakland’s fast start has turned into a steady decline with a just one victory in its last six games both straight-up and against the spread. Last Sunday’s 34-14 loss to Buffalo as a slight 1.5-point road underdog was a major disappointment coming off a big upset at home against Kansas City the week before. The total went OVER in both of those games and it has gone OVER in three of the Raiders’ last four outings. They are 1-3 ATS this season when closing as favorites.

This team has issues across the board with an offense that is averaging just 88 yards a game rushing as part of its 317.8 total yards of offense that is ranked 19th in the NFL. On the other side of the ball, Oakland’s defense is 25th in the league in total yards allowed (356.9) and 23rd in points allowed (23.8). One of the Raiders’ biggest problems has been costly turnovers with a give/take ratio of minus six.

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The Dolphins’ recent SU three-game winning streak came to a sudden halt in a dismal 40-0 loss to Baltimore on Oct. 26 as three-point road underdogs. They are 3-3-1 ATS through the first seven games and the total had stayed UNDER in their first five contests before going OVER the closing line in their last two games. Miami returns home this Sunday night with an even 1-1-1 record ATS in three previous home games this season.

Matt Moore got the start against the Ravens for an injured Jay Cutler at quarterback and Miami ended the game with less than 200 yards of total offense. Cutler is expected to be ready to for this week’s game. Overall, this unit is currently ranked last in the NFL in both yards (252.4) and points (13.1) per game. The lone bright spot as been the play of the Dolphins’ defense, which is seventh in the league in yards allowed.

Oakland at Miami Game Betting Trends

  • The Raiders have failed to cover in five of their last six road games and they are also 1-5 ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games played on the road.
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  • The Dolphins are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games against a team with a SU losing record, but they have covered in seven of their last 10 games played in Week 9 of the season. The total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games following a SU loss.
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  • The road team in this AFC matchup has covered in five of the last seven meetings with the total going OVER in the last four games between the two.

Oakland at Miami Free Game Prediction

Both of these teams need to start the second half of the season on a much better note than how they each ended the first. The pressure is really dialed up on the Raiders given this team’s sky-high expectation level before the games started counting for real. Miami needs a quick fix for its offense and Cutler is not the answer. The quick pick for Sunday night’s matchup is the UNDER on the current 44-point total line with scoring points remaining at a premium for both teams.

Free Pick: Take the Under 44
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