Louisiana State won five of six meetings with Florida from 2010-15, but the Gators are 2-1 straight up and 3-0 against the spread over the last three. And Florida is getting a bunch of points for Saturday night’s tango with the Tigers at Homecoming in Baton Rouge. How are we playing this one with our free college football pick?
College Football Betting Odds
Week 7’s college football betting odds opened LSU at -14 over Florida, with an over/under of right around 55. Early betting action then dipped that spread to 13.5.
Gators vs. Tigers Set-Up
Florida is 6-0 on the season, ranked No. 7 in this week’s AP Poll, after beating a ranked Auburn squad last week 24-13. The Gators, lined as three-point home dogs, scored a touchdown two minutes into the game and led from there, putting the Tigers away with an 88-yard scoring bolt by Lamical Perine early in the fourth quarter.
On the day Florida out-gained Auburn 398-269 and held a 34-26 advantage in time of possession.
The Gators opened this season with a 24-20 win over Miami but couldn’t cover as seven-point favorites. They later beat Kentucky 29-21 but couldn’t cover at -10, then covered at -12 over Tennessee. So Florida is 4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS against Power 5 opponents this season.
The Gators are also 3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS with Kyle Trask as the starter at quarterback.
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LSU, meanwhile, is 5-0 on the season, ranked No. 5, after disposing of Utah State last week 42-6. The Tigers drove the opening possession of the game 75 yards to a touchdown, let the Aggies get within 7-6 late in the first quarter, then scored the last 35 points for the win and the cover as 27-point favorites.
On the day Louisiana State out-gained USU 601-168, held a 32-10 advantage in first downs, out-rushed the Aggies 248-28 and dominated time of possession by a 41/19 split.
The Tigers are 2-0 both SU and ATS against Power 5 foes this year, with win/covers against Texas and Vanderbilt.
Gators-Tigers Recent History
As mentioned above, Florida is 2-1 SU, 3-0 ATS over the last three meetings in this rivalry. Last year the Gators trailed LSU at the Swamp 19-14 early in the fourth quarter but scored the final 13 points of the game for a 27-19 victory.
College Football Betting Trends
- Florida is 5-6 ATS its last 11 games as an underdog.
- LSU is 4-1 ATS its last five times out favored by between 10 and 17 points.
- In 11 match-ups so far this season between ranked teams, the higher-ranked outfits are 7-4 SU but 5-6 ATS.
Totals Report
- Unders are 5-1 in Gators games this season, which are averaging 42 total points.
- Overs are 4-1 in Tigers games this season, which are averaging a healthy 74 points.
- Unders are 2-1 over the last three games in this rivalry, which have averaged just 35 points.
- Get more details: Florida at LSU NCAAF Match-up Stats
