Connecticut Huskies at Central Florida Knights Point Spread Pick – Odds – Free NCAAF Prediction

AAC football action in Week 11 this Saturday gets things started with the Connecticut Huskies going on the road to tangle with the Central Florida Knights. Game time on ESPNU from Spectrum Stadium in Orlando is set for 12 p.m. (ET).

Connecticut at Central Florida Game Overview

The Huskies have battled back from a straight-up 1-4 start while going 0-5 against the spread with a SU 2-2 mark in their last four games while covering in three of those games. The total stayed UNDER in last Saturday’s 37-20 loss to South Florida as heavy 23-point underdogs and it has stayed UNDER in their last four games.

If Connecticut is going to have any shot at keeping this game closer than the five-plus touchdown spread, it is going to need a perfect performance from senior quarterback Bryant Shirreffs. He has completed over 70 percent of his passing attempts three times this season and overall he has thrown for 2,287 yards and 14 touchdowns against five interceptions. The Huskies’ 279.4 passing yards per game is ranked 29th in the nation.

Central Florida continues to demand national attention in the rankings at 8-0 SU, but after failing to cover in its last three games its current record ATS stands at 5-2-1. In Saturday’s 31-24 victory against SMU as a 14-point road favorite, the total stayed UNDER the closing 75-point line. It has stayed UNDER in two of the Knights’ last three games. They are 3-1 ATS at home this season and 4-2-1 ATS when closing as favorites.

The Knights can beat you in so many ways that it is easy to see why this team is the class of the AAC this season. With an average of 540.4 yards of total offense a game that features an excellent balance between the pass and the run, this offense is currently first in the nation in scoring with an average of 47.6 points per game. Add in a defense that is 28th in the country in points allowed (20.3) and it is also easy to see why the spread is so wide in this obvious mismatch.

Connecticut at Central Florida Game Betting Trends

• The Huskies have failed to cover in seven of their last 10 conference games and they are also 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a SU winning record. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last seven November games.
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• The Knights are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games and they have covered ATS in their last six games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 games played at home.
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• This AAC series is tied at two games apiece both SU and ATS over the past four seasons with the total going OVER in three of the four games.