purdue-boilermakers-600

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Odds Analysis – Free Pick

By Rich Crew
Date: 16/01/2018 7:00 pm
Location: Mackey Arena
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Wisc +15.5 / Purdue -15.5
Total: 136

The 3rd ranked Purdue Boilermakers (17-2) host the Wisconsin Badgers (9-9) in a Big 10 game that will take place at the Mackey Arena in West Lafayette, Indiana at 7:00 PM ET. Purdue are the 15.5-point home favorite with a total on the NCAA odds board at 136.

In their last game Wisconsin was on the road where they lost to Nebraska 63-59. Ethan Happ was the high scorer for the Badgers with 19 points on 9/15 shooting and he also had 11 rebounds before fouling out. James Palmer Jr. was the high scorer for the Cornhuskers picking up 18 points on 5/11 shooting and he was only one of two players for the team that scored in double figures. Wisconsin was down by as much as 13 points in the 2nd half before rallying late to make a game of it. For the game they shot 42.4% from the floor while Nebraska shot 42.6%. The Badgers 3-point loss failed to cover the +1.5 spread and the total fell under. After winning five in a row Wisconsin has dropped two straight. They’re 2-3 in Big 10 play this campaign, and on the season are 1-4 SU on the road and 1-3-1 against the number.

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Purdue was on the road in their last game where they crushed Minnesota 81-47. Vincent Edwards was the high scorer for the Boilermakers with 25 points on 9/14 shooting hitting five of his seven 3-pointers and four of five starters for the squad went for at least 12 points. Isaiah Washington came off the bench and was the high scorer for the Golden Gophers picking up11 points on only 3/13 shooting and was one of only two Minnesota players to go for double figures. Purdue jumped out to a 13-point halftime lead and for the game they shot 47/.5% from the floor while holding Minnesota to only 28.8% shooting. The Boilermakers blow out win had them easily covering the spread as an 8.5-point favorite and the total fell 24 points below the closing line. Since losing two in a row back in late November, Purdue has reeled off 13 straight wins and they are 6-0 in Big 10 play and on the season, they are 11-0 at home.

Wisconsin ranks 296th in the nation in ppg and 30th in opponents’ ppg and Purdue ranks 20th in ppg and 14th in opponents’ ppg.

Last season in the lone match-up between these teams, which was at Purdue, the Boilermakers beat the Badgers 65-55.

This season Wisconsin is 6-10-1 ATS with an O/U record of 7-8-2 and Purdue is 12-6 ATS with an O/U record of 9-9.

SAGARIN RATINGS
Wisconsin: 80.18
Purdue: 94.01

INJURY REPORT

WISCONSIN
[G] 12/11/2017 – Kobe King is out for season ( Knee )
[G] 12/09/2017 – D’Mitrik Trice is out indefinitely ( Foot )

PURDUE
[F] 12/22/2017 – Eden Ewing is out for season ( Dismissed )

Key Betting Trends

  • WISC is 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 road games
  • WISC is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record
  • WISC has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 games
  • PUR is 43-20-2 ATS in their last 65 home games
  • PUR is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after a straight up win
  • PUR has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 games

Badgers at Boilermakers Betting Angles

Purdue is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Wisconsin.

Purdue is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games against Wisconsin.

The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 games between these teams.

In the last 5 games between these teams the Under record is 4-1.

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 1/16/2018

The Boilermakers are perfect in Big Ten play going 6-0, however they’re just 3-3 against the spread which includes an uninspiring 1-2 mark at home versus the conference. The Badgers already have nine losses on their resume and three of their last six defeats have been by double digits ruling out a point spread recommendation for me. The total offers the most value here. Wisconsin has averaged 62.4 points in five conference games surpassing 70 points in just one contest (71 points vs. Indiana) and the average is likely to decrease against Purdue’s top-level defense. On the other end of the court the Badgers have done a good job holding the opposition to 64.9 points per game overall and to 66.8 in Big 10 games and eight of their last ten opponents to 70 or fewer points. 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 136
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