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Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Northwestern Wildcats Betting Odds – Free Pick

By Cliff Knox
Date: 28/11/2016 9:00 pm
Location: Welsh Ryan Stadium
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Northwestern -4.5
Total: 152.5

The Northwestern Wildcats host the Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the ACC / Big 10 Challenge to take place at the Welsh-Ryan Arena in Evanston, Illinois at 9 PM ET. Wake Forest has won five of their first six games this season and they have covered the spread in two of the four games that have had a posted line. Northwestern has won four of their first six games on the season and they have also covered the spread in two of the four games that have had a posted line.

Wake Forest is coming off an 86-74 win over Coastal Carolina where they failed to cover as a 16.5-point home favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 160, which was over the closing line of 151.5. The Demon Deacons have won two in a row and their only loss of the season was to 3rd ranked Villanova. They have failed to cover in two of their last three games and in all four games that have had a posted line this season the total has gone over.

Northwestern is coming off an 86-66 win over Bryant in a game that did not have a line. They had lost their previous game 70-66 to Notre Dame at a neutral site where they failed to cover as a 3.5-point underdog and the total going under. Before the Notre Dame game the Wildcats had covered the spread in two straight games and in their last three games that have had a line the total has gone under every time.

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Offensively Wake Forest is putting up 86.3 points per game on a 51.3% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Demon Deacons are allowing 74.2 points per game on a 43.6% FG average.

Northwestern is putting up an average of 79.5 points per game on a 47.9% FG average. On defense they are allowing 66.5 points per game on a 40.4% FG average.

This will be the first time that these two teams have met.

Wake Forest vs. Northwestern Betting Trends

  • The game total went under in 7 of Wake Forest’s last 8 Monday night games.
  • The game total has gone under in 7 of Wake’s last 10 games vs. Big 10.
  • Northwestern are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games.
  • The game total has gone over in 10 of North Western’s last 14 games vs. Altantic Coast

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Wake Forest and Northwestern the public is leaning towards the Wildcats to cover the 4.5 point spread with 74% confidence while the over/under bettors are definitively leaning to this game going under 152.5 points at 76%.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Northwestern Wildcats Prediction

I find this total on the low side. Wake Forest has averaged 86.3 points per game and while they are allowing a mediocre 74.2 points per game, the number is skewed by the Charleston and Radford games. Excluding those contests moves that number to 81.5 per game. Northwestern has scored an average of 79.5 points per game and while they did only average 70.33 points per game in a trio of games against Notre Dame, Texas and Butler those teams defenses are in a different stratosphere than the Demon Deacons.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 152.5
Bovada

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