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Wagner Seahawks at St. Francis (PA) Red Flash Odds Analysis – Free Pick – January 26 – 2018

By Keith F
Date: 26/01/2018 5:00 pm
Location: Loretto
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: SFPA -3.5 (-106)
Total: 143

The Wagner Seahawks will hit the road to take on the St. Francis Red Flash in a prominent Northeast Conference collision. The fixture will take place on Friday, January 26th, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 5:00 PM ET. The game will be covered on ESPNU. The Seahawks and the Red Flash have had a very balanced conference series. Each team has won four of the previous contests. The two outfits last met in Staten Island where the Seahawks swooped in and defeated SFPA 73-64 eight days ago.

Both teams enter this match on six days of rest. Both also come in on wins. For St. Francis, the Red Flash managed to put together an impressive road win at Sacred Heart University when they won 73-60. Wagner continued to soar at home taking down Bracketologist favorite Robert Morris by a score of 62-49 in their last endeavor.

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Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Wagner Seahawks, 13-6 SU, 1-2 ATS
St. Francis (PA) Red Flash, 11-8 SU, 0-1 ATS

Wagner at St. Francis NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • St. Francis (PA) is 6-1 SU at home this season.
  • Wagner is 3-6 SU on the road this season.
  • Wagner is 2-7 ATS in the previous nine meetings against NEC opposition.
  • Wagner is 10-0 SU at home this season.

Public Money

From the early going, we have seen a lean by the consensus on St. Francis (PA). Some forums have upwards of 80% of takers backing the Red Flash in this spot. In light of this fact, we have yet to see the line move in any direction. However, we do see SFPA accompanied by a price tag of -106 if one were willing to spot points. In Over/Under markets, the figure has dropped by two points to reflect action on the Under.

Wagner Seahawks at St. Francis (PA) Red Flash ATS Prediction

According to KenPom, the Phoenix are the 27h luckiest team in the country according to the results they attained against nominal opposition. KenPom ranks Wagner’s schedule as one of the weakest in terms of strength across the country. Presently, the Seahawks SOS sits at 331st. What this signals to us is that the Seahawks’ record is a bit of a misnomer. There are many factors in addition to this that convey there is equity in backing St. Francis here.

Wagner is undefeated at home this season. On the road, they have lost all six of their defeats. Psychologically this narrative can play many tricks on the Seahawks and their resultant performance. Whilst one can suggest that there many inaccuracies in how both Wagner and St. Francis are priced due to little market action, we have to like that position given the fact the metrics reveal the Seahawks are in line for a likely significant loss. Swallow the points.

Free Pick: Take St. Francis -3.5 (-106)
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