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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox

The 14th ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the 12th ranked Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC game that will take place at the Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana at 8 PM ET. Virginia has won 15 of their 18 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 10 of the 16 games that have had a posted line. Notre Dame has won 17 of their 20 games this season and they have an ATS record of 10-3-1 in the 14 games that have had a posted line.

Virginia is coming off a 62-49 win over Georgia Tech in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 17-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 111, which was under the closing line of 117. Previous to the Georgia Tech game the Cavaliers had covered the spread in three straight games. The total has gone under in their last two games while the total went over in their previous three games. Virginia has won four straight games since losing back-to-back games to a ranked Florida State team and Pittsburgh.

Notre Dame is coming off an 84-66 win over Syracuse in their last game where they covered the 7.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 150, which was over the closing line of 142.5. The Fighting Irish have covered the spread in their last six games and in their last seven games the total has gone over five times including in two in a row. Previous to the Syracuse game Notre Dame lost to a ranked Florida State team.

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Offensively, Virginia is putting up 69.6 points per game on a 49.8% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation. On defense the Cavaliers are allowing 53.2 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 38.4% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation.

Notre Dame is putting up 81.2 points per game on a 47.1% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Fighting Irish are allowing 67.4 points per game on a 40.6% FG average.

Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which took place at Virginia, the Cavaliers beat the Fighting Irish 77-66.

Virginia Cavaliers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends

  • Virginia is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games overall.
  • The Cavaliers are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 road games.
  • The game total has gone over in 5 of Notre Dame’s last 7 games.
  • Notre Dame is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games.
  • The Fighting Irish is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Virginia and Notre Dame see the public heavily banking on the Fighting Irish minus the point with over 80% conviction. The over/under bettors are leaning slightly to this game going under the posted total line of 136 with 70% on board.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 136
Bovada

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