The 6th ranked Louisville Cardinals host the 12th ranked Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC match up that will take place at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky at 7 PM ET. Virginia has won 10 of their first 11 games this season and they have covered the spread in six of the nine games that have had a posted line. Louisville has won 11 of their 12 games on the season and they have covered in eight of the 10 games that have had a posted line.
Virginia is coming off a 56-52 win over California in their last game where they covered the 2.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 108, which was under the closing line of 118.5. The Cavaliers have covered the spread in their last three games and before the Cal game the total had gone over in two straight games. Virginia has won three in a row since their first loss of the season facing a ranked West Virginia team.
Louisville is coming off a 73-70 win over a ranked Kentucky team in their last game where they covered the spread as a 1.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 143, which was under the closing line of 158. The Cardinals have covered the spread in their last four games that have had a posted line and in those games the total has gone under every time. Louisville has won six straight games since suffering their first loss of the season facing a ranked Baylor team.
Offensively, Virginia is putting up 69.8 points per game on a 49.8% FG average, which ranks 16th in the nation. On defense the Cavaliers are allowing 47.2 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 34% FG average, which ranks 2nd in the nation.
Louisville is putting up 78 points per game on a 43.4% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Cardinals are allowing 60.3 points per game, which ranks 15th in the nation, on a 36.2% FG average, which ranks 5th in the nation.
Last season Virginia beat Louisville twice.
Virginia vs. Louisville Betting Trends
- Virginia is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games.
- The Cavaliers are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 road games.
- The game total has gone Under in 5 of Virginia’s last 5 road games.
- Louisville is 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.
- The Cardinals are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games.
Public Money Consensus
In this NCAAB matchup between Virginia and Louisville it appears the public is heavily leaning to the Cardinals to cover the 4 points with over 80% conviction. The over/under bettors appear to be slightly convinced this game may stay under the posted line of 119.5 with just over 50%.
