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Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free Point Spread Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 18/02/2017 8:15 pm
Location: Dean Smith Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: North Carolina -4.5
Total: 137

The 10th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels host the 14th ranked Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC game that will take place at the Dean E. Smith Center in Chapel Hill, North Carolina at 8:15 PM ET. The betting odds for bthis game opened with UNC a -5 point spread favorite over UVA ands has since risen to -5. The totla line has gone the other way hitting the NCAA betting board at 137 before settling in at 136.5.

Virginia is coming off a 65-55 loss to Duke in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 120, which was under the closing line of 128.5. The Cavaliers have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games, including their last two, and previous to the Duke game the total had gone over in two straight games. Overall, Virginia has lost two in a row and three of their last four games.

North Carolina is coming off a 97-73 blowout win over North Carolina State in their last game where they covered the 11-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 170, which was over the closing line of 167.5. Previous to the NC State game the Tar Heels had failed to cover the spread in four straight games and in their last six games they have an over/under record of 1-4-1. North Carolina has won three of their last four games.

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Offensively, Virginia is putting up 68.8 points per game on a 48.7% FG average, which ranks 13th in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball the Cavaliers are allowing 55.5 points per game, which ranks 1st in the nation, on a 39.6% FG average, which ranks 18th in the nation.

North Carolina is putting up 87.7 points per game, which ranks 6th in the nation, on a 47.5% FG average. On defense the Tar Heels are allowing 72.1 points per game on a 42.4% FG average.

Last season at home Virginia beat North Carolina and then lost to them in the conference tournament.

Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels Betting Trends

  • Virginia is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 road games.
  • The Cavaliers are 11-5 against the spread in their last 16 games against the Tar Heels.
  • The game total has gone under in 10 of Virginia’s last 15 games against North Carolina.
  • North Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Tar Heels are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games at home.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Virginia and North Carolina have the public leaning heavily to the home Tar Heels minus the 4.5 points with 72%. The over/under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted total of 137 points with 53%.

Virginia Cavaliers at North Carolina Tar Heels Prediction

Short Analysis: Virginia is in a tailspin losing three of their last four including two road games against moderate conference competition. The Tar Heels are 6-0 as a host in ACC matches winning five of the six games by 7 or more points which would get it done here.

Free Pick: Take UNC -5
Bovada

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