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Texas State Bobcats vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin Cajuns NCAAB Pick – Odds Analysis

By Keith F
Date: 09/03/2018 12:30 pm
Location: New Orleans
TV: ESPN3

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Louisiana-Lafayette -12
Total: 139.5

The Sun Belt Conference Tournament will feature a bout between two of its constituents when the University of Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns takes on the Texas State Bobcats in a Quarterfinal clash in the Big Easy. The game will come live from New Orleans, Louisiana on Friday, March 9th, 2018 at 12:30 PM ET. The Cajuns go into this match off a four-game winning streak against their counterparts. Overall, Louisiana-Lafayette has won all of the previous ten meetings between the two sides. The two clubs last met on February 15th where Lafayette defeated Texas State by a ten-point margin at home.

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The Cajuns come into this contest as the top-dog in the bracket, and thus they have had extended rest to prepare for this affair. Texas State had to play into this game and defeat Coastal Carolina two days ago in the first round to square off UL-Lafayette.

Get more details: Texas State at Louisiana Lafayette NCAAB Match-Up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Texas State Bobcats, 15-17 SU, 11-13 ATS
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns, 25-6 SU, 15-9 ATS

Texas State at Louisiana Lafayette Key Betting Trends

  • Texas State is 6-1 ATS in their last seven neutral site games.
  • Louisiana-Lafayette is 14-1 SU at home this season.
  • Texas State is 2-7 ATS in the previous nine meetings between both sides.
  • Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the previous eight contests overall.

Public Money

Out of the gate, we have seen the market rise by half of a point due to a public propensity to back the Cajuns in this market. 95% of the cash and 92% of the ticket action is shown to be with Ragin’ Cajuns. In Over/Under markets, we have seen a 1.5-point increase to reflect action coming in on the Over.

Search for the best odds: Live College Basketball Lines

Texas State vs. Louisiana-Lafayette Prediction 03/09/2018

There has been a ton of optimism as to whether or not this Ragin’ Cajuns team can win the Sun Belt Conference outright and punch their ticket to March Madness. It certainly seems like they are in a position to do just that. The Ragin Cajun’s own the inside track to the Sun Belt crown and eventual bid. Against Sun Belt competition has a whole, UL-Lafayette has been on the positive end of a lot of lop-sided victories. At home, in particular, the Ragin’ Cajuns seem to be unbeatable. Unfortunately for them, this contest is on a neutral site. Which gives the Bobcats a wrinkle to work with as they head into this affair.

The Bobcats do have a couple of advantages here to make this game more competitive than the line forecasts. Texas State owns the better scoring defense and commits fewer turnovers compared to the Ragin’ Cajuns. In a game where the stakes are as high as they are this will be paramount. Let us also forget that to back ULL you can expect to pay a premium given the fact they are “supposed” to win. Take advantage of the inflated points.

Free Pick: Take Texas State +12
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