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Texas Longhorns vs. Michigan Wolverines NCAAB Pick – Odds – Total Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 06/12/2016 9:00 pm
Location: Crisler Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Michigan -11
Total: 131

The Michigan Wolverines host the Texas Longhorns in a non-conference game that will take place at the Crisler Center in Ann Arbor, Michigan at 9 PM ET. Texas has won four of their first seven games of the season and they have covered the spread in three of the six games that have had a posted line. Michigan has won six of their first eight games and they have failed to cover the spread in two of the three games that have had a posted line.

Texas is coming off a 77-68 win over Alabama in their last game where they covered the 3.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 145, which was well over the closing line of 128.5. Previous to that game the Longhorns had lost three in a row where they failed to cover in each game and the total went under every time. This will be their first road game of the season.

Michigan is coming off a 82-55 blowout win over Kennesaw State in their last game, which did not have a posted line. The Wolverines have failed to cover the spread in the last two games that have had a posted line. This season Michigan has an o/u record of 2-3. They have won two of their last three games overall and on the season they are 4-1 at home.

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Offensively, Texas is putting up 70.4 points per game on a 43.3% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Longhorns are allowing 67 points per game on a 40.3% FG average.

Michigan is putting up 71.3 points per game on a 44.8% FG average. On defense the Wolverines are allowing 59.3 points per game, which ranks 12th in the nation, on 42.9% shooting.

These teams met last season where Michigan beat Texas 78-72.

Texas vs. Michigan Betting Trends

  • The Long Horns are 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 road games.
  • The game total has gone under in 5 of Texas’s last 6 games.
  • The Wolverines are 6-2 straight up in their last 8 games.
  • Michigan is 6-1 straight up in their last 7 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Texas and Michigan the public is all over the Longhorns getting the 11 points at 77%. The over appears to be the bet on this game with 75% conviction.

Texas Longhorns at Michigan Wolverines Prediction

The point spread line has come down from its opener, but it still way higher than I’d ever lay. The Longhorns have yet to record a victory in their two neutral site games and will be playing their first true road game of the season. In the neutral court games Texas shot a feeble 37% from the field and may be in for more of the same tonight. Michigan can light up the board, but they’re not going well now scoring 67.6 points per game over their last five. The line is steaming to the OVER but I believe the other side is the right side of the total to be on tonight.

Free Pick: Take the Under 131
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