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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 23/01/2017 7:00 pm
Location: Gallagher-Iba Arena
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Oklahoma State -3.5
Total: 160.5

The Oklahoma State Cowboys host the TCU Horned Frogs in a Big 12 game that will take place at the Gallagher-Iba Arena in Stillwater, Oklahoma at 7 PM ET. TCU has won 14 of their 19 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 10 of the 17 games that have had a posted line. Oklahoma State has won 11 of their 19 games this season and they have an ATS record of 7-6-1 in the 14 games that have had a posted line.

TCU is coming off a 62-53 loss to a ranked Baylor team in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 2.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 115, which was well under the closing line of 136. The Horned Frogs have failed to cover the spread in their last two games after doing so in three in a row. Previous to the Baylor game the total had gone over in two straight games. Overall, TCU has lost two games in a row.

Oklahoma State is coming off an 83-64 win over Texas Tech in their last game where they covered the spread as a 6.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 147, which was under the closing line of 155. The Cowboys have covered the spread in two of their last three games and in their last five games the total has gone under three times. Oklahoma State snapped their six-game losing streak with their win over Texas Tech.

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Offensively, TCU is putting up 75.7 points per game on a 46.1% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Horned Frogs are allowing 66.3 points per game on a 42% FG average.

Oklahoma State is putting up 87.8 points per game, which ranks 8th in the nation, on a 46.1% FG average. On defense the Cowboys are allowing 79.3 points per game on a 46.5% FG average.

Last season these teams split the two games facing each other with each winning at home.

TCU Horned Frogs vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys Betting Trends

  • TCU is 6-3 against the spread in their last 9 games overall.
  • The Horned Frogs are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 road games.
  • The game total has gone under in 7 of TCU’s last 9 games against Oklahoma State.
  • Oklahoma State is 7-3 straight up in their last 10 home games.
  • The Cowboys are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games against TCU.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between TCU and Oklahoma State have the public leaning to the Cowboys to cover the 3.5 point spread with over 70%. The over/under bettors are evenly split on the game total of 160.5.

TCU Horned Frogs at Oklahoma State Cowboys Prediction

The Horned Frogs have dropped back to back games and haven’t impressed in conference play going 3-4 over the seven games. Cowboys have been even worse, losing six straight before getting victory in their latest over Texas Tech. That could signal a turnaround, but I’ll stay on the sidelines as far as making a point spread play. Instead I’ll pace my action on a total side. Last season both games went under the total and that’s where this one should land. TCU has scored 70 or fewer points in five of their seven Big 12 games, but they do play decent defense allowing 70 points per game on the road this season. Defense isn’t a strength of Oklahoma State allowing 80.9 points per game and while they averaged 95.5 at home this season, in conference games they number has fallen significantly.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 155.5
Bovada

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