syracuse-orange-jesse-edwards

Syracuse vs. Virginia Betting Analysis & O/U Pick

By Rich Crew
Date: 07/01/2023 5:00 pm
Location: John Paul Jones Arena
TV: ACCN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: John Paul Jones Arena
Total: 126.5

The Cavs will look to make it four straight against ACC rival Syracuse when they take to the floor of John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, Virginia, on Saturday afternoon. The tip-off for the game is set for 5:00 PM.

Line Movement

The spread on this game opened on most sportsbook boards at Virginia -11.5, but that number has fallen to 10.5 and 11, depending on where you play. The total opened at as high as 129.5 and has fallen steeply to 126.5 at some betting shops.

Last Game Info

Syracuse is coming off a 70-69 win over Louisville. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as a -9 point favorite. The combined 139 points finished above the 137 total line.

Going into their last game, Virginia was the betting favorite at -6 but fell to Pittsburgh by a score of 68-65. The combined 133 points finished above the 125 total line.

Current Form

Syracuse
Over their last five games, Syracuse has a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Orange offense averages 79.0 points per game while hitting 46.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.4% from the field while allowing 70.4 points per contest.

Virginia
In their previous five contests, Virginia is 2-3 straight-up and 1-4 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 66.0 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.2%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 41.3% of their shots while giving up 61.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Syracuse’s opponents comes in at 74.9. On the other side, Virginia’s combined opponent power rating sits at 77.1.

How Does Syracuse Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Orange have played four road games and have a record of 2-2. In these contests, Syracuse is 1-3 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 61.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of 38.9%. On defense, the Orange are allowing 69.8 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 39.3% in these games.

How Does Virginia Fare At Home?

In their nine games at home, Virginia has a 2-7 record vs. the spread while going 8-1 straight-up. On offense, the Cavaliers are shooting 46.2% on their home floor, leading to 70.4 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 38.0% in these contests. The Virginia defense is allowing 56.7 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Syracuse is averaging 77.4 points per game (48th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.0%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Virginia defense that has allowed an average of 59.1 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 40.2% of their shots vs. Virginia. On the other side, the Virginia Cavaliers are coming into the game averaging 62.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.9%. The Cavaliers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 69.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.3% of their shots vs. the Orange.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Syracuse has a shooting percentage of 37.7% while ranking 240th in attempts per game. The Orange will be facing a Virginia defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 33.4%. Virginia enters the game having hit 32.2% of their looks from deep while averaging 5.0 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Syracuse has allowed opponents to hit 33.0% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Syracuse

  • Symir Torrence (Questionable) Shoulder

Virginia

  • Francisco Caffaro (Questionable) Foot

Pick Against The Betting Line

Syracuse vs. Virginia Betting Prediction 1/7/23

This is a massive spread. I won’t lay it, and I don’t like Syracuse enough to take the points. The Cavs have a significant edge in three-point shooting and have stepped it up in their last two games. If those shots can continue to fall, I think that we should be able to fade the line move and get the money on the Over. Take the OVER 126

Free Pick: Take the Over 126
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