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Southern Methodist Mustangs at Memphis Tigers NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Keith F
Date: 27/12/2016 9:00 pm
Location: Memphis
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: SMU -3
Total: 139.5

The Southern Methodist Mustangs a.k.a. The Pony Express (10-3) will square off with the Memphis Tigers (9-3) in Music City, Memphis, Tennessee for a pivotal American Conference battle with a scheduled tip-off of 9:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on the American Sports Network. The Mustangs continue to roll as they have won their previous six now. Along the way the Mustangs have taken no prisoners as they have absolutely trampled the competition. Notable victims of SMU, include a ranked TCU and SUNY Albany who has been a stalwart in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament for years.

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For the Tigers of Memphis, they have finally gotten back on track after they were routed at home by the invading Monmouth Tigers. The Tigers have had a propensity to be overvalued but since the loss they have won their last two, coming up huge with an overtime win at Oklahoma as a 9.5-point road pooch after falling to Monmouth in the previous contest.

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Southern Methodist Mustangs 10-3 SU, 5-3 ATS
Memphis Tigers 9-3 SU, 3-4 ATS

SMU vs. Memphis Key Betting Trends

  • SMU have won their last six overall.
  • SMU has won their previous four against Memphis.
  • SMU is 13-3 ATS in the last 16 meetings between the two.
  • Home team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 contests.

Public Money Consensus

In the early going we have seen a heavy lean on the Mustangs spotting the points to the Tigers as opposed to much of the consensus taking them back. 73% of the public like SMU. The Over/Under is currently sitting at 139.5 with no indication of heavy action on either the Over or Under.

Southern Methodist Mustangs at Memphis Tigers Prediction

The situation affords us a rare chance to take back Memphis with likely enhanced points. SMU has owned Memphis in the conference rivalry series and when combining that with the recent scourge of Mustang victories, an overreaction is likely to be fostered on behalf of the Mustangs. Typically we would expect this to be the case with a name brand team like Memphis. Such narratives set up the Tigers for a huge fall against Monmouth. However, those who were taking back points with Memphis against Oklahoma reaped the rewards adhering to the same principle of laying teams with high stock and/or recognized names. Oklahoma has both given what they achieved in the 2015-16 season. However, despite all the futility shown by Memphis and the supremacy imposed by SMU this market opened at a marginal increment separating the two. There is a reason for this and in spite of the Mustangs having the Tigers number as of recent, the assessment is that this one will be a brawl. Do not be surprised if the Tigers sneak up on yet another team they are pitted as an underdog against.

Free Pick: Take Memphis +3
Bovada

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