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South Florida vs. Memphis Betting Preview – Expert Picks

By Rich Crew

The 10-3 Memphis Tigers host the 7-6 South Florida Bulls in Thursday night action at FedEx Forum. The Tigers are 6-0 at home this season, but they’re saddled with a big line tonight and will have to win this by daylight to get the cover.

Line Movement

This line opened at Memphis -16 before falling to as low as -14 at some shops moving against the public consensus. The total opened as high as 142.5 on some boards before falling to 139.5.

Last Game Info

South Florida picked up a victory over NJIT by a score of 92-73. Heading into the game, the Bulls were favored to win, with a point spread of -13.5. The combined 165 points finished above the 129 total line.

Memphis is coming off an 83-61 win over Alabama State. However, they did not cover the spread in the game as -30.5 point favorites. The combined 144 points did not surpass the 145.5 total line.

Current Form

South Florida
Over their last five games, South Florida has a straight-up record of 5-0 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Bulls’ offense averages 75.8 points per game while hitting 47.2% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field while allowing 65.2 points per contest.

Memphis
In their previous five contests, Memphis is 4-1 straight-up and 2-3 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 84.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 51.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 38.1% of their shots while giving up 75.0 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of South Florida’s opponents comes in at 71.2. On the other side, Memphis’ combined opponent power rating sits at 76.5.

How Does South Florida Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Bulls have played three road games and have a record of 2-1. In these contests, South Florida is 3-0 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 68.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.5%. On defense, the Bulls allow 66.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 40.9% in these games.

How Does Memphis Fare At Home?

In their ten games at home, Memphis has a 4-6 record vs. the spread while going 9-1 straight-up. On offense, the Tigers are shooting 48.4% on their home floor, leading to 75.0 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 36.0% in these contests. The Memphis defense is allowing 63.5 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, South Florida is averaging 57.5 points per game (491st) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 37.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Memphis defense that has allowed an average of 67.9 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 38.1% of their shots vs. Memphis. On the other side, the Memphis Tigers are coming into the game averaging 75.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.1%. The Tigers will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 66.3 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.5% of their shots vs. the Bulls.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, South Florida has a shooting percentage of 25.2% while ranking 563rd in attempts per game. The Bulls will be facing a Memphis defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 31.1%. Memphis enters the game having hit 35.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.32 made 3’s per game. On the other end, South Florida has allowed opponents to hit 33.0% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

South Florida

  • Jake Boggs (Questionable) Foot
  • Trey Moss (Questionable) Undisclosed
  • DJ Patrick (Out) Ankle

Memphis

  • Keonte Kennedy (Questionable) Concussion
  • Jayden Hardaway (Questionable) Undisclosed
  • Alex Lomax (Questionable) Groin
  • Malcolm Dandridge (Out) Ankle
Free Pick: Take South Florida +14.5
Bovada

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