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SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free Point Spread Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 18/02/2017 6:00 pm
Location: Hofheinz Pavilion
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: SMU -2
Total: 130

The Houston Cougars host the 19th ranked SMU Mustangs in an AAC game that will take place at the Hofheinz Pavilion in Houston, Texas at 6 PM ET. The betting odds favor SMU who is listed as a small -2 on the point spread line. The total for this match is listed at 130.

SMU is coming off an 80-75 win over Tulane in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 24-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 155, which was over the closing line of 136. Previous to the Tulane game the Mustangs had covered the spread in seven straight games and the total had gone under in three straight games. Overall, SMU has won their last nine games.

Houston is coming off a 73-64 win over Tulsa in their last game where they covered the 5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 137, which was over the closing line of 134.5. The Cougars have covered the spread in their last four games and the total has gone over in five of their last six games including their last four. Houston has won five straight games since losing three in a row with the last loss coming against SMU.

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Offensively, SMU is putting up 73 points per game on a 46.1% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Mustangs are allowing 58.6 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the nation, on a 38.6% FG average, which ranks 8th ion the nation.

Houston is putting up 75.4 points per game on a 46.1% FG average. On defense the Cougars are allowing 63.7 points per game on a 40.1% FG average.

These teams met on January 21st at SMU where the Mustangs beat the Cougars 85-64.

SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars Betting Trends

  • SMU is 7-1 against the spread in their last 8 games overall.
  • The Mustangs are 6-0-1 against the spread in their last 7 road games.
  • The game total has gone over in 4 of SMU’s last 5 games against Houston.
  • Houston is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games.
  • The Cougars are 8-3 against the spread in their last 11 games against SMU.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between SMU and Houston have the public leaning heavily to SMU minus the 2 points with 83%. The over/under bettors are banking on this game going over the posted total 130 with over 80% on board.

SMU Mustangs at Houston Cougars Prediction

It’s tough to make an arguement for Houston in this game. Sure the Cougars have won five straight, but they beat lower level conference teams with the best win in the streak against UCF who is 6-7 in the conference. They were crushed by the Mustangs on the road by 21 points and while Houston should be better at home, SMU doesn’t fall off much on the road. The Mustangs have yet to lose a spread decision on the road going 6-0-1 ATS and 6-1 against the AAC with the lone loss by 2 points against the Bearcats.

Free Pick: Take the SMU Mustangs -2
Bovada

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