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Rider Broncs at Fairfield Stags Odds Analysis – Free Pick – Jan 23 – 2018

By Keith F
Date: 23/01/2018 7:00 pm
Location: Fairfield
TV: Local Coverage

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Fairfield +3
Total: 157.5

The Rider Broncs and Fairfield Stags will do battle in a pivotal Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference clash. The match will take place on Tuesday, January 23, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 7:00 PM ET. The affair will be available on some live stream outlets. Rider owns the most recent win in this conference series when the Broncs defeated the Stags 96-77, eighteen days ago at home. Previous to this, the Stags had won four in a row against the Broncs.

Both teams enter this contest on three days of rest. Both also come in off wins in conference play. For Rider, the streak has extended to two games with a win over Marist where the Broncs failed to cover a 15.5-point line in a 60-57 final. As for Fairfield, the Stags laid waste to Niagara as a three-point home choice when they smoked NU by a score of 104-85.

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Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Rider Broncs, 13-7 SU, 10-5-1 ATS
Fairfield Stags, 7-11 SU, 6-8 ATS

Rider at Fairfield NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • Fairfield 5-2 SU at home this season.
  • Rider is 5-5 SU on the road this season.
  • Road team is 20-7 ATS in the previous 27 meetings between both parties.
  • Underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 contests between both sides.

Public Money

Out of the gate, we have seen what appears to be an enormous lean by the consensus on the Broncs. This narrative is reflected by a three-point steam move in the direction of the Broncs from a pick-em scenario to its current juncture. 71% of the ticket action is with Rider to reflect this. However, 61% of the money is with Fairfield. In Over/Under markets, the figure has remained idle to indicate little action in this market.

Rider Broncs at Fairfield Stags Betting Prediction 01/23/2018

This situation sets up with the ideal ingredients for us to step in. At first glance, the prospect of a team like Rider with its current record being given away against a team with a losing record like Fairfield could seem like a deal and a half. However, the proof lies in the pudding that this is not the case.

The two teams played congruent schedules in terms of overall strength. In fact, Rider’s ranks 210th whilst Fairfield’s SOS sits at 234th according to KenPom. However, the luck quotient has been resting solely with the Broncs as they are ranked 71st in that department while the Stags are 230th. Very easily, these two teams could have been closer in wins and losses. Furthermore, Fairfield in particular will be surging into this game after the work they put in against Niagara on Saturday. Rider is lucky to get away with a win. Now, we get the team with the hot hand at home with points to boot. Fairfield bodes tremendous value.

Free Pick: Take Fairfield +3
Bovada

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