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Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 24/01/2017 7:00 pm
Location: Breslin Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Purdue -2
Total: 141

The Michigan State Spartans host the 20th ranked Purdue Boilermakers in a Big 10 games that will take place at the Breslin Center in East Lansing, Michigan at 7 PM ET. Purdue has won 16 of their 20 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 11 of the 17 games that have had a posted line. Michigan State has won 12 of their 20 games this season and they have failed to cover the spread in 10 of the 19 games that have had a posted line.

Purdue is coming off a 77-52 blowout win over Penn State in their last game where they covered the 13-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 129, which was under the closing line of 145.5. The Boilermakers have covered the spread in three of their last four games, including their last two, and previous to the Penn State game the total had gone over in two straight games. Purdue has won two in a row and four of their last five games.

Michigan State is coming off an 82-75 loss to Indiana in their last game where they failed to cove the spread as a 5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 157, which was over the closing line of 146. The Spartans have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games, including two in a row, and in their last two games the total has gone under both times. Overall, Michigan State has lost two in a row and three of their last four games.

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Offensively, Purdue is putting up 82.8 points per game on a 49.4% FG average, which ranks 17th in the nation. On the defensive side of the ball the Boilermakers are allowing 65.7 points per game on a 40.5% FG average.

Michigan State is putting up 72.2 points per game on a 47% FG average. On defense the Spartans are allowing 67.8 points per game on a 39.9% FG average.

Last season Purdue beat Michigan State in the regular season and lost to them in the conference tournament.

Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan State Spartans Betting Trends

  • Purdue is 11-2 straight up in their last 13 games.
  • The Boilermakers are 2-7 against the spread in their last 9 games against Michigan State.
  • The game total has gone over in 7 of Purdue’s last 8 games against Michigan State.
  • Michigan State is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games.
  • The Spartans are 8-1 straight up in their last 9 games against Purdue.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Purdue and Michigan State sees the public leaning to the Boilermakers minus the 2 points with over 65% confidence. The over/under bettors are more sure on this game going over the posted total line of 141 with over 80%.

Purdue Boilermakers at Michigan State Spartans Prediction

The Spartans are just 4-3 in Big Ten play but they are 3-0 at home against the conference. They seem like a completely different team at home playing great defense holding the three Big 10 teams to a combined average of 54.66 points. Purdue hasn’t been impressive on the road going 1-2 with their lone victory by one point over Ohio State and remain winless against the spread. I’ll side with the small home dog in this match.

Free Pick: Take the Michigan State Spartans +2
Bovada

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