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Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland Terrapins Odds & Free Pick

By Cliff Knox
Date: 16/02/2023 6:30 pm
Location: Xfinity Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Pur -1/MD +1
Total: 132

On Thursday, February 16, 2023, the Purdue Boilermakers will face off against the Maryland Terrapins at XFINITY Center in College Park, MD. The game will be broadcasted on ESPN+.

Purdue Boilermakers: In their most recent game, they traveled to Northwestern and lost 64-58, failing to cover the 5-point spread. The game went under the 131.5 total as both teams struggled shooting from the field. Purdue’s field goal percentage was only 36.17%, and they hit just five three-pointers. However, their free throw shooting was solid, making 79.17% of their attempts from the charity stripe.

Maryland Terrapins: The Terrapins hosted Penn State in their most recent game and won 74-68, covering the 8-point spread. The game went under the 132 total as Maryland’s defense held Penn State to just 68 points. The Terps had a solid shooting night, hitting over 53% from the field and making six three-pointers. Their free throw shooting was also strong, with a 78.26% conversion rate.

Both teams have comparable turnover ratios, with Purdue having a slight edge. The Boilermakers average 15.65 assists per game while turning the ball over 11.38 times per game, giving them a 1.38 ratio. Maryland averages 11.24 assists per game and 10.88 turnovers per game, resulting in a 1.03 ratio.

Purdue dominates the glass on both ends of the court, with an average of 12.23 offensive rebounds and 27.08 defensive rebounds per game, for a total of 39.31 rebounds per game. Meanwhile, the Terrapins average 9.88 offensive rebounds and 24.56 defensive rebounds per game, totaling 34.44 rebounds.

Purdue has a better shooting percentage on offense, defense, and differential. The Boilermakers have an offensive shooting percentage of 46.34%, a defensive shooting percentage of 41.05%, and a differential of 5.29%. Meanwhile, Maryland has an offensive shooting percentage of 44.92%, a defensive shooting percentage of 41.68%, and a differential of 3.24%.

Betting Trends

Maryland Terrapins:

Maryland has been performing well at home, going 5-1 ATS in its last six home games. Maryland is on a 5-game winning streak at home, winning all five games straight up. The total has gone over in 4 of Maryland’s last six home games. When playing against Purdue, Maryland has a strong record of 7-1 ATS in its last eight games. Although Maryland has struggled in some of its recent games against Purdue, losing 8 of the last 11 games, the total has gone under in 7 of those eight games. Maryland has won 4 of its last six home games against Purdue. The total has gone under in 5 of Maryland’s last six home games when playing against Purdue.

Purdue Boilermakers:

Purdue has not been performing well on the road, going 1-3-1 ATS in its last five road games. Purdue has won 9 of its last 11 games on the road, showing that they are still a competitive team. When playing against Maryland, Purdue has struggled recently, going 1-7 ATS in its last eight games against Maryland. Purdue has won 8 of its last 11 games against Maryland, but the total has gone under in 7 of those eight games. When playing on the road against Maryland, Purdue has gone 2-3-1 ATS in its last six games. Purdue has won only 2 of its last six games when playing on the road against Maryland. The total has gone under in 5 of Purdue’s last six games when playing on the road against Maryland.

Injuries Report:

Purdue Boilermakers: No injuries to report. Maryland Terrapins: No injuries to report.

Purdue Boilermakers at Maryland Terrapins Free Pick ATS

Based on the statistical analysis and the lack of reported injuries for both teams, Purdue has the advantage in this matchup. The Boilermakers dominate the rebounding battle and have a higher shooting percentage than Maryland, which will give them more opportunities to score. Purdue also has a better turnover ratio, which indicates they will take care of the ball and limit Maryland’s offensive possessions. Purdue’s statistical superiority in key categories should give them the edge in this game.

 

Free Pick: Take Purdue -1
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