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Purdue Boilermakers at Kansas Jayhawks Free Pick – Betting Odds

By Cliff Knox
Date: 23/03/2017 9:39 pm
Location: Sprint Center
TV: CBS

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Kansas -5
Total: 156.5

The 4th seed Purdue Boilermakers face the top-seed Kansas Jayhawks in a Midwest Region Sweet 16 NCAA Tournament game that will take place at a neutral site at the Sprint Center in Kansas City, Missouri on Thursday, March 23 at 9:39 PM ET. The betting odds for this game have been on the rise with the Jayhawks listed as a -5 point favorite over the Boilermakers up from a -3.5 point spread opener. The total line has climbed .5 to 1 point depending on where you play hitting as high as 157 at some betting shops.

Purdue is coming off an 80-76 win over Iowa State in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament where they covered the 1-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 156, which was over the 154.5 closing line. The Boilermakers have covered the spread in three of their last four games, including their last two, and in their last three games the total has gone over every time. Purdue has won four of their last five games.

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Kansas is coming off a 90-70 win over Michigan State in their last game where they covered the 7.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 160, which was over the closing line of 148.5. The Jayhawks have covered the spread in three of their last four games, including their last two, and in their last four games the total has gone over every time. Kansas has won 10 of their last 11 games.

Offensively, Purdue is putting up 80.1 points per game on a 48.1% FG average, which ranks 20th in the nation. On the defensive side of things the Boilermakers are allowing 67.5 points on a 41.7% FG average.

Kansas is putting up 83.4 points per game, which ranks 15th in the nation, on a 49.1% FG average, which ranks 9th in the nation. On defense the Jayhawks are allowing 72 points per game on a 41.7% FG average.

These teams last met in the 2012 season were Kansas beat Purdue 63-60.

Purdue Boilermakers at Kansas Jayhawks Betting Trends

  • The game total has gone over in 8 of Purdue’s last 8 games at a neutral site.
  • The game total has gone over in 8 of Purdue’s last 9 games on Thursday night.
  • The game total has gone under in 27 of Kansas’s last 36 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Kansas is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games overall.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Purdue and Kansas have the public heavily betting on the Jayhawks minus the 5 points with 75%. The over/under bettors are thinking this game will go over the posted total line of 156.5 with 65% on board.

Purdue Boilermakers at Kansas Jayhawks Prediction

Kansas was shorthanded for their Big 12 Tournament opener missing their excellent guard Josh Jackson who was suspended for one game. They lost that game 85-82 to TCU but the good news for their supporters is the Jayhawks appear to have used that to motivate themselves back to back blowout victories to get to the Sweet 16. They’ve shot an outstanding 70 of 128 in their 54.6 from the field and outboarded their opposition 78-49 in the two matches. That’s all good, but Purdue represents a bigger challenge than their first two opponents. The Boilermakers have tasted defeat in just two games in their last dozen contests falling to Michigan by four in overtime on a neutral court and to the Wolverines on the road back in late February. The OT loss in the Big Ten tourney to the Wolverines was the first and only loss that the Boilermakers have suffered this season on a neutral court. I think this game will come down to who can shoot the three better and on paper the advantage goes to Purdue. Kansas is a great team, but they weren’t dominant against the Cyclones another team that can shoot the three splitting the two home and away games and who just lost to Purdue by four.. Another common opponent is Michigan State who Kansas beat by 20 in their latest who were swept by the Boilermakers losing by 17 and 11.

Free Pick: Take the Purdue Boilermakers +5
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