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Purdue at Indiana Odds Analysis – Free Pick – January 28 – 2018

By Rich Crew
Date: 28/01/2018 3:30 pm
Location: Assembly Hall
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Purdue -9
Total: 143

The Indiana Hoosiers (12-9) host the 3rd ranked Purdue Boilermakers (20-2) in a Big Ten game at the Assembly Hall in Bloomington, Indiana at 3:30 PM ET. Purdue is the -9 point spread road favorite on the NCAA board with a total line of 143.

In their last game, Purdue was at home, where they beat a ranked Michigan team 92-88. The four-point winning margin failed to cover the spread for their backers, and the 180 points crushed the 136 point total line. In the game, Vincent Edwards was the top scorer for the Boilermakers picking up 30 points on 9/11 shooting and hitting all three of his 3-pointers, and Isaac Haas chimed in for 24 points on 10/14 shooting and also added six rebounds. Muhammad-Ali Abdur-Rahkman was the high scorer for the Wolverines with 26 points on 10/15 from the filed making six of his nine 3-pointers and four starters for the team went for double figures. For the game, Purdue shot a sizzling 62% from the floor, but their defense was lacking allowing Michigan to shoot 60.3%. Purdue is riding a 16-game winning streak, is in first place in the Big 10 as the lone unbeaten team in conference play (9-0), and is 5-0 on the road.

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Indiana was on the road in their latest, where they lost a heartbreaker to Illinois 73-71. The Hoosiers did cover the spread by a half point, and the 144 points scored matched the closing total line resulting in a PUSH. Juwan Morgan was the top scorer for the Hoosiers with 28 points on 12/14 shooting, and he also had nine boards, and he was one of only two players for the squad that went for double figures. Leron Black and Trent Frazier were the high scorers for the Fighting Illini with each recording 19 points. Indiana was outscored by eight points in the 2nd half, and for the game, they shot 56.8% from the floor, and Illinois shot 46%. The Hoosiers covered the spread as a 2.5-point underdog, and the total was a PICK at 144. Indiana has lost two of their last three games, is 5-4 in Big 10 play, and is 10-3 at home.

Purdue ranks 16th in the nation in ppg and 15th in opponents’ ppg, and Indiana ranks tied for 207th in ppg and tied for 157th in opponents’ ppg.

Last season Purdue beat Indiana in both meetings. This game is the first match this season.

This season Purdue is 14-7 ATS with an O/U record of 10-11 and Indiana is 11-10 ATS with an O/U record of 9-11-1.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Purdue: 94.32
Indiana: 79.72

INJURY REPORT

PURDUE<
[F] 12/22/2017 – Eden Ewing is out for season ( Dismissed )
[F] 01/27/2018 – Jacquil Taylor is probable Sunday vs. Indiana U ( Personal )

INDIANA
[G] 12/04/2017 – Curtis Jones has left team ( Personal )
[F] 01/10/2018 – De’Ron Davis is out for season ( Achilles )

Key Betting Trends

  • PUR is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games
  • PUR is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after an ATS loss
  • PUR has an Under record of 6-1 in their last 7 games
  • IND is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games
  • IND is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games
  • IND has an Under record of 3-0-1 in their last 4 games

Purdue vs. Indiana Betting Angles

Purdue is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Indiana.

The road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 games between these teams.

The favorite is 6-2-1 ATS in the last 9 games between these teams.

Purdue Boilermakers at Indiana Hoosiers ATS Prediction

Boilermakers at Hoosiers Prediction 1/28/2018I’m not questioning Purdue’s superiority, but Indiana is unbeaten at home in Big Ten matches this season. The Hoosiers home victories didn’t come against top-flight teams, beating Maryland, Northwestern, Penn State, and Iowa, so I’m not going to call for an outright win, but I think that they can compete and stay within double digits. I’ll side with home side here.

Free Pick: Take the Indiana Hoosiers +9
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