Pittsburgh at Louisville Odds, Analysis, Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 18/01/2023 7:00 pm
Location: KFC Yum! Center
TV: ACCN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: PITT -10.5/ LOU +10.5
Total: 141

Wednesday night’s ACC action has the Pitt Panthers visiting the dreadful Louisville Cardinals at the KFC Yum! Center. The Cards are having a dreadful season with an overall 2-7 record and a 0-7 conference record. So it comes as no surprise the Cards are a 9.5 home dog. Tip-off for this game is scheduled for 7:00 PM Et and can be watched on

Line Movement

The spread line for this game opened with Pitt as a 10.5-point road dog and has since dropped t0 -9.5 on most odds boards. The total hasn’t since much movement, with some books bouncing back and forth a half point from 140.5 to 141.

Last Game Info

Pittsburgh picked up a victory over Georgia Tech by a score of 71-60. Heading into the game, the Panthers were favored to win, with a point spread of -3. The combined 131 points did not surpass the 142.5 total line.

Louisville lost to North Carolina in their last game by a score of 80-59. But because the Cardinals were +12.5 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 139 points did not surpass the 144.5 total line.

Current Form

Pittsburgh
Over their last five games, Pittsburgh has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 4-1 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Panthers’ offense averages 71.6 points per game while hitting 43.0% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 42.1% from the field while allowing 70.2 points per contest.

Louisville
In their previous five contests, Louisville is 0-5 straight-up and 4-1 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 66.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.3%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 50.7% of their shots while giving up 79.8 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Pittsburgh’s opponents comes in at 80. On the other side, Louisville’s combined opponent power rating sits at 82.6.

How Does Pittsburgh Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Panthers have played seven road games and have a record of 4-3. In these contests, Pittsburgh is 6-0 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 74.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.3%. On defense, the Panthers allow 69.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 38.1% in these games.

How Does Louisville Fare At Home?

In their 12 games at home, Louisville has a 4-8 record vs. the spread while going 2-10 straight-up. On offense, the Cardinals are shooting 39.8% on their home floor, leading to 63.8 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 45.8% in these contests. The Louisville defense is allowing 72.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Pittsburgh is averaging 61.5 points per game (442nd) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 41.4%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Louisville defense that has allowed an average of 75.2 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 47.8% of their shots vs. Louisville. On the other side, the Louisville Cardinals are coming into the game averaging 67.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 42.2%. The Cardinals will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 68.2 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. the Panthers.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Pittsburgh has a shooting percentage of 31.4% while ranking 605th in attempts per game. The Panthers will be facing a Louisville defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 34.6%. Louisville enters the game having hit 30.9% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.69 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Pittsburgh has allowed opponents to hit 30.8% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Pittsburgh

  • John Hugley (Out) Redshirt
  • William Jeffress Jr. (Out) Toe
  • Dior Johnson (Out) Suspension
  • Vason Stevenson (Out) Undisclosed

Louisville

  • Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (Questionable) Foot

The Cardinals are just an awful team. They’ve been getting blown in the first half in recent games, and I think that’s the best bet tonight. 

Free Pick: Take the Pitt Panthers -5 in the first half.
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