Oklahoma at Kansas Betting Analysis & Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 10/01/2023 9:00 pm
Location: Allen Fieldhouse
TV: ESPN2

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Okl +10.5/KU -10.5
Total: 132.5

The Jayhawks put their 9-0 unbeaten home record on the line tonight when they host the Sooners in Big 12 action. Kansas has taken three of the last five meetings, but Oklahoma backers have gotten the money in four of them, including last season’s match at the Allen Fieldhouse as an identical +10.5 underdog.

Line Movement

This line has been on the move since it hit the board with Kansas a -9.5 favorite and hit as high as -11.5 before there was some buyback back down to -10.5. The total opened as high as 134 and has dropped to 133 against public action.

Last Game Info

Oklahoma will be looking for another win, as they most recently defeated Texas Tech by a score of 68-63. The Sooners also picked up an ATS victory as they were +5 point underdogs. The combined 131 points did not surpass the 134 total line.

Kansas picked up a victory over West Virginia by a score of 76-62. Heading into the game, the Jayhawks were favored to win, with a point spread of -2. The combined 138 points did not surpass the 146.5 total line.

Current Form

Oklahoma
Over their last five games, Oklahoma has a straight-up record of 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Sooners’ offense averages 69.2 points per game while hitting 47.5% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 40.1% from the field while allowing 63.0 points per contest.

Kansas
In their previous five contests, Kansas is 5-0 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 74.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.2%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 40.5% of their shots while giving up 63.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Oklahoma’s opponents comes in at 79.3. On the other side, Kansas’ combined opponent power rating sits at 82.2.

How Does Oklahoma Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Sooners have played three road games and have a record of 2-1. In these contests, Oklahoma is 2-1 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 70.3 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.1%. On defense, the Sooners allow 65.7 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 45.9% in these games.

How Does Kansas Fare At Home?

In their ten games at home, Kansas has a 4-5 record vs. the spread while going 9-0 straight-up. On offense, the Jayhawks are shooting 48.8% on their home floor, leading to 80.1 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 39.7% in these contests. The Kansas defense is allowing 64.4 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Oklahoma is averaging 68.5 points per game (286th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 47.5%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Kansas defense that has allowed an average of 64.9 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 39.8% of their shots vs. Kansas. On the other side, the Kansas Jayhawks are coming into the game averaging 78.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 48.1%. The Jayhawks will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 61.6 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 42.3% of their shots vs. the Sooners.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Oklahoma has a shooting percentage of 33.9% while ranking 375th in attempts per game. The Sooners will be facing a Kansas defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 30.7%. Kansas enters the game having hit 35.5% of their looks from deep while averaging 7.15 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Oklahoma has allowed opponents to hit 27.6% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Oklahoma

  • Yaya Keita (Out) Shin

Kansas

  • Kyle Cuffe Jr. (Out) Knee
  • Charlie McCarthy (Out) Undisclosed
  • Wilder Evers (Out) Foot
  • MJ Rice (Questionable) Back

Oklahoma at Kansas Pick 1/10/23

The Jayhawks have crushed the opposition at home, going 9-0 and outscoring the opposition 81.5 to 62.7. The recent history in this series versus the spread has the public siding with Oklahoma, but I think that is what keeps Kansas fully focused tonight. The Sooners are off a tough game on Saturday with a huge defensive effort (or were the Red Raiders flat from their loss to Kansas) to win in OT 68-63. Either way, I’m laying the double-digit spread, backing the home side, and counting on the Jayhawks D coming up big.

Free Pick: Take Kansas -10.5
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