north-carolina-tar-heels-pete-nance

North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Ohio State Buckeyes Analysis & Point Spread Pick

By Rich Crew
Date: 17/12/2022 3:00 pm
Location: Madison Square Garden
TV: CBS

Betting Odds



Point Spread: UNC +2.5/OSU -2.5
Total: 149.5

An interesting match-up of two teams that have struggled at times in the early season has Ohio State and UNC playing an afternoon match at the Garden in New York. The Buckeyes are a slight -2.5 to -3 favorite depending on where you lay your action with the O/U line at 149.5 at most shops.

LineMovement

Opening Lines: North Carolina Opened At -1.5, Currently -1/ Ohio State Opened At +1.5,
Currently, +1

Last Game Info

North Carolina picked up a victory over Citadel by a score of 100-67. Heading into the game,
the Tar Heels were favored to win, with a point spread of -26.5. The combined 167 points finished
above the 145.5 total line.

Ohio State is coming off a 67-66 win over Rutgers. However, they did not cover the spread in
the game as -6 point favorites. The combined 133 points did not surpass the 136.5 total line.

Current Form

North Carolina

Over their last five games, North Carolina, has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs.
the spread. Over this stretch, the Tar Heels offense averages 82.6 points per game while hitting
43.9% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed
opponents to shoot 44.6% from the field while allowing 77.2 points per contest.

Ohio State

In their previous five contests, Ohio State is 4-1 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these
five games, they have a scoring average of 79.2 points per game on a shooting percentage of
48.6%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 45.5% of their shots while giving up 66.4 points per
game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of North Carolina’s opponents comes in at 67.
Conversely, Ohio State’s combined opponent power rating sits at 152.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, North Carolina is averaging 77.5 points per game (45th) while posting an
overall field goal percentage of 45.3%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against an Ohio
State defense that has allowed an average of 63.6 points per contest. This year, opponents have
hit 40.7% of their shots vs. Ohio State. On the other side, the Ohio State Buckeyes are coming
into the game averaging 73.8 points per game on a shooting percentage of 47.4%. The Buckeyes will
be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 73.5 points per contest. So far, teams have hit
42.7% of their shots vs. the Tar Heels.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, North Carolina has a shooting percentage of 36.2% while ranking 304th in
attempts per game. The Tar Heels will be facing an Ohio State defense that has a 3-point field
goal shooting percentage allowed of 28.2%. Ohio State enters the game, hitting 37.3% of their
looks from deep while averaging 8.1 made 3’s per game. On the other end, North Carolina has
allowed opponents to hit 33.4% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

North Carolina

  • D’Marco Dunn (Out) Hand

Ohio State

  • Isaac Likekele (Out) Personal
  • Eugene Brown III (Out) Concussion

North Carolina vs. Ohio State Prediction ATS

This a tough call versus the spread, as i can see a couple of scenarios on how this will play out. But one thing is commong in both and that is the scoring. I think both squads can hit or surpass 75 points making the Over the way to b et this game. 

Free Pick: Take the Over 149.5
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