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North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Florida State Seminoles Free NCAAB Picks – Odds and Predictions

By Cliff Knox
Date: 03/01/2018 7:00 pm
Location: Donald L. Tucker Center
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Florida State -1
Total: 165

The 24th ranked Florida State Seminoles (11-2) host the 12th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels (12-2) in an ACC game that will take place at the Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee, Florida at 7:00 PM ET. Florida State are the 1-point home favorite with a posted total line of 165 points.

In their last game North Carolina was at home where they beat Wake Forest 73-69 in their ACC opener. Luke Maye was the high scorer for the Tar Heels with 17 points on 7/18 shooting and he also had three rebounds and three UNC starters went for at least 13 points. Bryant Crawford was the high scorer for the Demon Deacons with 17 points on only 5/13 shooting and only two players for the team scored in double figures. North Carolina had more turnovers in the game (12-7), but had 14 offensive rebounds while the Demon Deacons only had four. Both teams in the game shot an uninspiring 39.7% from the floor. The Tar Heels failed to cover the spread as a 14-point favorite and the total went Under. Since their shocking loss to Wofford North Carolina has rebounded to win their last two games and on the season, they are 2-0 on the road.

Florida State was on the road in their last game where they lost to a ranked Duke team 100-93. Phil Cofer was the high scorer for the Seminoles going off 28 points on 11/16 shooting and he also had six rebounds and Braian Angola picked up points. Marvin Bagley III was the high scorer for the Blue Devils with 32 points and he also had 21 rebounds and every starter for the team went for at least 13 points. After being down by four points at the half Duke outscored FSU by 11 points in the 2nd half to get the win. For the game the Blue Devils shot 47% from the floor and the Seminoles shot 44.9%. Florida State covered the spread as an 11.5-point underdog and the total went Over. The Seminoles had won two in a row before their loss to Duke.

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North Carolina ranks 26th in the nation in ppg and 174th in opponents’ ppg and Florida State ranks 23rd in ppg and tied for 84th in opponents’ ppg.

Last season in the lone match-up between these teams at North Carolina the Tar Heels beat the Seminoles 96-83.

This season North Carolina is 8-5 ATS with an O/U record of 8-5 and Florida State is 9-2 ATS with an O/U record of 6-5.

SAGARIN RATINGS

North Carolina: 90.76
Florida State: 87.34

INJURY REPORT

NORTH CAROLINA

[G] 12/06/2017 – Seventh Woods is out indefinitely ( Foot )

FLORIDA STATE

[C] 11/25/2017 – Christ Koumadje is out indefinitely ( Lower Body )

UNC vs Florida State NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • UNC is 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games after an ATS loss
  • UNC is 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games against ACC teams
  • UNC has an Under record of 4-0 in their last 4 road games
  • FSU is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games
  • FSU is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games against a team with a winning record
  • FSU has an Over record of 12-3-1 in their last 16 games against a team with a winning record

UNC at FSU Betting Trends

North Carolina is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Florida State.

The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 games between these teams.

In the last 16 games between these teams the Over record is 12-3-1.

In the last 6 games between these teams at Florida State the Over record is 5-1.

North Carolina at Florida State Prediction 1/3/18

There is no disputing the fact that both teams can score, but the Seminoles have played well on both sides of the ball. Their stout defense has allowed 67.5 points per game holding the opposition to an impressive 37.9 shooting. Florida State will have to play better on the boards than they did against Duke and I think they will with a return home to the Donald L. Tucker Center.

Free Pick: Take Florida State -1 (CK)
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