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North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils Free Pick – Betting Odds

By Cliff Knox
Date: 09/02/2017 8:00 pm
Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Duke -2.5
Total: 162

The 18th ranked Duke Blue Devils host the 8th ranked North Carolina Tar Heels in an ACC game that will take place at the Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, North Carolina at 8 PM ET. The Blue Devils opened at -1.5 and has settled in at -2.5 on the point spread line on most betting boards. The total line was originally offered at 162.5, but it has fallen to a consensus line of 160.5.

North Carolina is coming off an 83-76 win over a ranked Notre Dame team in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 9-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 159, which was under the closing line of 159.5. The Tar Heels have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, including their last three, and in their last four games the total has gone under every time. North Carolina has won nine of their last 10 games including their last two.

Duke is coming off a 72-64 win over Pittsburgh in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 16-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 136, which was under the closing line of 155.5. The Blue Devils have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games and previous to the Pittsburgh games the total had gone over in three straight games. Overall, Duke has won three straight games.

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North Carolina is putting up 87.8 points per game, which ranks 5th in the nation, on a 46.9% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Tar Heels are allowing 71.6 points per game on a 42% FG average.

Duke is putting up 82.5 points per game, which ranks 20th in the nation, on a 48.2% FG average. On defense the Blue Devils are allowing 67.9 points per game on a 42.9% FG average.

Last season these teams split the two games facing each other with each winning on the road.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils Betting Trends

  • North Carolina is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Tar Heels are 5-1 against the spread in their last 6 road games against Duke.
  • The game total has gone under in 11 of North Carolina’s last 16 games against Duke.
  • Duke is 2-6 against the spread in their last 8 games overall.
  • The Blue Devils are 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between North Carolina and Duke have the public leaning to the Tar Heels getting the 2.5 points on the road with over 65%. At time of posting there was not a consensus available for the total line of 162.

North Carolina Tar Heels at Duke Blue Devils Prediction

Duke has won three straight including two on the road, but didn’t impress in any of the victories or pad their backers’ bankrolls going 0-2-1 against the spread. The same could be said about UNC who has looked very ordinary in their last three games going 2-1 straight up and 0-3 versus the betting line. The big seperation here is the Tar Heels road play. They are a mediocre 4-3 on the road this season and a terrible 1-6 against the spread. The Blue Devils while 4-1 as a host versus ACC teams, they haven’t been a good bet going 1-4 ATS. That said they they did win the four games by a combined 84 points with the lowest margin being by 8, so Duke can extend the margin. It’s difficult for me to back the Blue Devils as I do admittedly have a bias against the team, but they are the logical choice in this spot.

Free Pick: Take the Duke Blue Devils -2.5
Bovada

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