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Michigan State vs. Rutgers Odds & Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 04/02/2023 12:00 pm
Location: Madison Square Garden
TV: Fox

Betting Odds



Point Spread: MSU +4/ RU -4
Total: 127

The Michigan State Spartans take on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Madison Square Gardens. The Scarlet Knights gave up a home game to play in this venue, and the last time they were here, a large portion of the crowd were their supporters, so this is sort of in between a true home game and a neutral site game.

Line Movement

This game opened with Rutgers as a 4-point favorite, but some betting sites are starting to hang -4.5, so make sure you shop your lines. The total line hit the board at 127.5 and has since been bet down to 126.5.

Last Game Info

Michigan State most recently fell to Purdue (77-61). Not only did the Spartans lose straight-up, but they picked up an ATS defeat as +8 point underdogs. The combined 138 points finished above the 130.5 total line.

Rutgers picked up a victory over Minnesota by a score of 90-55. Heading into the game, the Scarlet Knights were favored to win, with a point spread of -15. The combined 145 points finished above the 124.5 total line.

Current Form

Michigan State
Over their last five games, Michigan State has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. Over this stretch, the Spartans’ offense averages 65.2 points per game while hitting 44.9% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed opponents to shoot 43.9% from the field while allowing 68.2 points per contest.

Rutgers
In their previous five contests, Rutgers is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In these five games, they have a scoring average of 72.4 points per game on a shooting percentage of 45.0%. Defensively, they allow teams to hit 38.9% of their shots while giving up 65.4 points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Michigan State’s opponents comes in at 85. On the other side, Rutgers’ combined opponent power rating sits at 82.

How Does Michigan State Fare On The Road?

Note: This isn’t a true road game. For the season, the Spartans have played eight road games and have a record of 3-5. In these contests, Michigan State is 4-4 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 66.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.7%. On defense, the Spartans allow 71.0 points per contest when playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 44.1% in these games.

How Does Rutgers Fare At Home?

Note: This isn’t a true home game. In their 15 games at home, Rutgers has an 11-4 record vs. the spread while going 13-2 straight-up. On offense, the Scarlet Knights are shooting 44.8% on their home floor, leading to 73.9 points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 34.7% in these contests. The Rutgers defense is allowing 52.8 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Michigan State is averaging 72.1 points per game (168th) while posting an overall field goal percentage of 45.7%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Rutgers defense that has allowed an average of 58.5 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit 37.7% of their shots vs. Rutgers. On the other side, the Rutgers Scarlet Knights are coming into the game averaging 67.9 points per game on a shooting percentage of 44.3%. The Scarlet Knights will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 66.1 points per contest. So far, teams have hit 41.3% of their shots vs. the Spartans.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Michigan State has a shooting percentage of 37.8% while ranking 533rd in attempts per game. The Spartans will be facing a Rutgers defense that has a 3-point field goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.3%. Rutgers entered the game having hit 33.6% of their looks from deep while averaging 6.06 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Michigan State has allowed opponents to hit 30.3% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Michigan State

  • No Reported Injuries

Rutgers

  • No Reported Injuries

Michigan State vs. Rutgers Pick ATS

I like Michigan State here. The Spartans have lost four of their last six games, but that stretch of games was one of the toughest of any teams this season. They’re rested now and catching 4.5 points in a game. I think they have a realistic shot of winning in what should be a low-scoring, close game.

Free Pick: Take Michigan State +4.5
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