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Michigan State Spartans vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Odds Analysis – Pick to Bet

By Rich Crew
Date: 06/02/2018 9:00 pm
Location: Carver-Hawkeye Arena
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Spartans -11
Total: 154.5

The Iowa Hawkeyes (12-13) host the 4th ranked Michigan State Spartans (22-3) in a Big 10 game at the Carver-Hawkeye Arena in Iowa City, Iowa on Tuesday, February 6, 2018, at 9:00 PM ET. On the NCAA odds board, Michigan State is an 11-point road favorite with the total line offered up at 154.5 points.

In their last game, Michigan State was on the road where they beat Indiana 63-60 failing to cover the -8 point spread line and the low scoring game resulted in a win for UNDER bettors. In the game, Matt McQuaid came off the bench and was the top scorer for the Spartans with 12 points on 4/5 shooting with all of his points coming on 3-pointers. Juwan Morgan was the high scorer for the Hoosiers going for 23 points on 8/17 shooting, and he was the only player for the team to go for double figures and added 11 boards. Michigan State outscored Indiana by eight points in the first half, but they had to battle to the end to get the victory. They shot 48.9% from the floor in the game and held the Hoosiers to only 28.8% shooting. The win by Michigan State extended their unbeaten streak to six games and incidentally the streak. The Spartans are 10-2 in Big Ten matches this season included in that number is a 4-1 record on the road.

Iowa was on the road in their last game where they were crushed losing to Penn State 82-58. The 24-point defeat by the Hawkeyes didn’t come close to covering the +8.5 betting line, and the 140 points scored by the two clubs came up well short of the 154.5 total line. Tyler Cook was the top scorer for Iowa, picking up19 points on 8/12 shooting and Luke Garza was the only other player for the team to go for double figures with 13 points on just 3/13 shooting. Mike Watkins was the high scorer for the Nittany Lions with 19 points on 9/10 shooting, and he also had ten rebounds. Iowa was outscored by 17 points in the first half, and for the game, they only shot 38.7% from the floor while they allowed Penn State to shoot 54.7%. Iowa has lost two of their last three games and four of their previous six. They’re 3-9 in Big 10 play and an unimpressive 2-4 as a host in conference games.

Michigan State ranked 26th in the nation in ppg and tied for 18th in opponents’ ppg, and Iowa ranks 45th in ppg and 301st in opponents’ ppg.

This game is the first meeting between these teams this season and last season in the lone matchup at Michigan State the Spartans beat the Hawkeyes 77-66.

This season Michigan State is 13-11-1 ATS with an O/U record of 14-10 and Iowa is 8-11-2 ATS with an O/U record of 14-7. Analyze: MSU at Iowa Matchup

SAGARIN RATINGS

Michigan State: 92.12
Iowa: 78.83

INJURY REPORT

MICHIGAN STATE
G] 11/08/2017 – Kyle Ahrens is out indefinitely ( Foot )

IOWA
[F] 02/05/2018 – Ryan Kriener is “?” Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Concussion )
[G] 02/05/2018 – Brady Ellingson is “?” Tuesday vs. Michigan State ( Concussion )
[G] 12/28/2017 – Connor McCaffery is out indefinitely ( Mouth )

Key Betting Trends

  • MSU is 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games
  • MSU is 0-3-1 ATS in their previous four games
  • MSU has an Under record of 5-2 in their previous seven road games
  • IOWA is 3-7 ATS in their last ten games
  • IOWA is 1-4 ATS in their previous five games against a team with a winning record
  • IOWA has an Over record of 6-1 in their last seven home games

Spartans vs. Hawkeyes Betting Angles

Michigan State is 7-3 ATS in their last ten games against Iowa.

Michigan State is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games against Iowa.

In the last 12 games between these teams at Iowa, the Under record is 9-3.

Michigan State Wolverines vs. Iowa Hawkeyes Prediction 2/6/18

Michigan State hasn’t been extending the margin on the road in conference games beating only Illinois (87 -74) by double digits in their five games. That’s not to say that Iowa offers excellent value. The Hawkeyes shooting was abysmal in their latest against the Nittany Lions, and that’s probably not a good sign going into a game against the No. 1 ranked team in defensive FG percentage. I have this game in the mid 140’s. 

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 154.5 (RC)
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