McNeese State Basketball

McNeese State vs Purdue Picks and Predictions: Will McNeese’s Defense Keep It Close?

By Rich Crew
Date: 22/03/2025 12:10 pm
Location: Amica Mutual Pavilion
TV: CBS

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Purdue -6.5 (-105) / McNeese State +6.5 (-115)
Total: 142.5 (Over -110 / Under -110)

Minute Handicap

McNeese State ATS Record 16-16 overall, 8-8 on the road
Purdue ATS Record 18-16 overall, 7-8 on the road
Head-to-Head Purdue leads 1-0 (Last meeting: Purdue won 109-65 in 2016)
McNeese State’s Last 10 Games 10-0 SU, 5-5 ATS
Purdue’s Last 10 Games 4-6 SU, 4-6 ATS

Matchup Breakdown

McNeese State Offense vs Purdue Defense

McNeese State brings a balanced offensive attack, averaging 77.0 PPG on 47.78% shooting. They’ve been strong from the free-throw line as well, hitting 70.33% of their attempts. The Cowboys also protect the ball well, averaging only 10.82 turnovers per game (1.3 assist-to-turnover ratio).

Purdue’s defense gives up 70.85 PPG, and opponents shoot 45.41% from the field. Purdue’s defensive rebounding has been solid at 22.94 per game, but they’ve struggled to contain outside shooters, which could give McNeese’s solid three-point attack an edge.

Purdue Offense vs McNeese State Defense

Purdue’s offense is consistent, scoring 77.79 PPG on 48.91% shooting. They are efficient in the half-court and generate second-chance opportunities, averaging 9.79 offensive rebounds per game. Purdue’s ball security has also been excellent, turning it over only 10.26 times per game (1.53 assist-to-turnover ratio).

McNeese’s defense has been elite, holding opponents to 64.12 PPG and limiting them to just 40.12% shooting. Their defensive rebounding (24.56 per game) will be a key factor in controlling Purdue’s second-chance points.

Key Statistical Edges

  • McNeese’s Defensive Edge: McNeese’s defense is allowing 6.73 fewer points per game than Purdue’s, and they are holding opponents to lower shooting percentages.
  • Purdue’s Offensive Edge: Purdue’s efficiency (48.91% FG) and ability to protect the ball (10.26 TO per game) could give them an advantage in a close game.
  • Rebounding Battle: McNeese has a rebounding edge (36.41 RPG) over Purdue (32.73 RPG), especially on the defensive glass.

Recent Form

  • McNeese: McNeese is on a 10-game win streak, including a 69-67 win over Clemson on March 20. They shot 43.55% from the field and hit 4 threes in that win.
  • Purdue: Purdue won their last game against High Point (75-63), but they’ve dropped four of their last six. They shot 45.90% in the win over High Point but struggled from three (5 makes).

McNeese State vs Purdue Betting Pick

McNeese’s elite defense and rebounding edge should keep them competitive in this matchup. Purdue’s efficient shooting and ball security give them a clear path to victory, but The Cowboy’s ability to defend the perimeter and control the glass makes them a live underdog.

Free Pick: Take McNeese State +6.5
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