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Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions Free Pick – Betting Odds

By Cliff Knox
Date: 07/02/2017 6:00 pm
Location: Bryce Jordan Center
TV: BTN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Maryland -3
Total: 143.5

The Penn State Nittany Lions host the 21st ranked Maryland Terrapins in a Big 10 game that will take place at the Bryce Jordan Center in University Park, Pennsylvania at 6 PM ET. No surprise with Maryland opening as a -3.5 point raod favorite on the betting board and the over/under opening at -143.5 and falling to 142 at most sportsbooks.

Maryland is coming off a 73-72 loss to a ranked Purdue team in their last game where the game was a Pick with the Terrapins a 1-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 145, which was under the closing line of 148.5. Previous to the Purdue game the Terrapins had covered the spread in seven straight games and the total had gone under in two straight games. Maryland had their seven-game win streak snapped with their loss to Purdue.

Penn State is coming off a 70-68 loss to Rutgers in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as an 8-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 138, which was over the closing line of 134. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two, and in three of their last four games, including their last two, the total has gone over. Penn State has lost five of their last six games including their last two.

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Offensively, Maryland is putting up 75.6 points per game on a 45.2% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Terrapins are allowing 66.3 points per game on a 40.4% FG average.

Penn State is putting up 72.1 points per game on a 41.5% FG average. On defense the Nittany Lions are allowing 71.8 points per game on a 42.6% FG average.

Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which took place at Maryland, the Terrapins beat the Nittany Lions 70-64.

Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions Betting Trends

  • Maryland is 7-0-1 against the spread in their last 8 games overall.
  • The Terrapins are 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 road games.
  • The game total has gone Under in 12 of Maryland’s last 18 road games.
  • Penn State is 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Nittany Lion’s are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Maryland and Penn State have the public leaning heavily to the Terrapins minus the 3 points with over 80%. The over/under bettors are also heavily leaning to this game going over the posted total 143.5 with over 88% on board.

Maryland Terrapins at Penn State Nittany Lions Prediction

I’m going to go the square route on this game. The Terrapins are 5-0 on the road in Big Ten play with wins over some of the better clubs in the conference. They were the dog in those game helping them to a 7-0-1 against the spread streak. That would have inflated the spread here, but I believe that there’s still value at the current line. Penn State is on a 1-5 SU run in conference games beating only lowly Illinois who is 0-5 on the road against conference foes.

Free Pick: Take the Maryland Terrapins -3.5
Bovada

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