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Louisville Cardinals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 04/01/2017 9:00 pm
Location: Joyce Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Louisville -2
Total: 141

The 23rd ranked Notre Dame Fighting Irish host the 9th ranked Louisville Cardinals in an ACC game that will take place at the Purcell Pavilion in South Bend, Indiana at 9 PM ET. Louisville has won 12 of their first 14 games on the season and they have covered the spread in nine of the 12 games that have had a posted line. Notre Dame has also won 12 of their first 14 games and they have an ATS record of 4-3-1 in the eight games that have had a posted line.

Louisville is coming off a 77-62 win over a ranked Indiana team in their last game where they covered the 3-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 139, which was under the closing line of 145. The Cardinals have covered the spread in three of their last four games and in their last six games that have had a posted line the total has gone under every time. Louisville has won seven of their last eight games, but in the game before the win over Indiana they suffered their 2nd loss of the season against a ranked Virginia team.

Notre Dame is coming off a 78-77 OT win over Pittsburgh in their last game which, was a PICK since they were a 1-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 155, which was over the closing line of 153.5. Previous to the Pittsburgh game the Fighting Irish had failed to cover the spread in three straight games that had a posted line. In four of their last six games that have had a posted line the total has gone over. Notre Dame has won three straight since losing back-to-back games facing the ranked teams of Villanova and Purdue.

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Offensively, Louisville is putting up 76.1 points per game on a 44% FG average. On the defensive side of the ball the Cardinals are allowing 60.4 points per game, which ranks 16th in the nation, on a 36.6% FG average, which ranks 6th in the nation.

Notre Dame is putting up 83.2 points per game on a 47.7% FG average. On defense the Fighting Irish are allowing 66.2 points per game on a 39.1% FG average.

Last season in the lone meetings between these teams, which was at Notre Dame, the Fighting Irish beat the Cardinals 71-66.

Louisville Cardinals vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Trends

  • Louisville is 5-10 against the spread in their last 15 games against Notre Dame.
  • The Cardinals are 2-5 against the spread in their last 7 road games against the Fighting Irish.
  • The game total has over in 4 of Louisville’s last 6 road games against Notre Dame.
  • Notre Dame is 12-2 straight up in their last 14 games.
  • The Fighting Irish are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB game between Louisville and Notre Dame the public is slightly leaning to Louisville to cover the 2 point spread with just over 50%. The over/under bettors are move definitive on the over 141 with over 70%.

Louisville Cardinals at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Prediction

Louisville as expected came out flat against Virginia after having a week to pat themselves on the back after defeating Kentucky, but responded well to the loss by knocking off Indiana 77-62 as a three point dog. The Cardinals are in a double revenge spot but I think that the Irish are the play here. Notre Dame is a perfect 9-0 at home this and has only two losses on their resume for this season losing against Villanova and Purdue on a neutral surface. They had the lead in both games at the break and a full game performance by the host should give them the W tonight.

Free Pick: Take the Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1.5
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