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Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals NCAAB Pick – Betting Odds

By Cliff Knox
Date: 21/12/2016 7:00 pm
Location: KFC Yum! Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Louisville -1
Total: 157

The 10th ranked Louisville Cardinals host the 6th ranked Kentucky Wildcats in a non-conference game that will be held at the KFC Yum! Center in Louisville, Kentucky at 7 PM ET. Kentucky has won 10 of their first 11 games on the season and they have covered the spread in eight of those games. Louisville has also won 10 of their first 11 games and they have covered in seven of the nine games that have had a posted line.

Kentucky is coming off a 103-100 win over 7th ranked North Carolina in their last game where they covered the 1-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 203, which was well over the closing line of 171. The Wildcats have covered the spread in two of their last three games and in their last seven games the total has gone over six times including their last two. Kentucky has won three in a row since suffering their first loss of the season to a ranked UCLA team.

Louisville is coming off a 87-56 blowout win over Eastern Kentucky in their last game where they covered the 26-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 143, which was under the closing line of 146. The Cardinals have covered the spread in their last three games that have had a posted line and in their last five games that have had a line the total has gone under four times. Louisville has won five in a row since suffering their first loss of the season to a ranked Baylor team.

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Kentucky is putting up 95.2 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the nation, on a 49% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Wildcats are allowing 71.6 points per game on a 39.8% FG average.

Louisville is putting up 78.5 points per game on a 43.4% FG average. On defense the Cardinals are allowing 59.4 points per game, which ranks 10th in the nation, on a 35.9% FG average, which ranks 5th in the nation.

These teams met last season where Kentucky beat Louisville 75-73.

Kentucky vs. Louisville Betting Trends

  • Kentucky is 7-2 against the spread in their last 9 games.
  • The Wildcats are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 road games.
  • The game total has gone Under in 12 of Kentucky’s last 17 games against Louisville.
  • Louisville is 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games against Kentucky.
  • The Cardinals are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Kentucky and Louisville the public is all over the Wildcats to cover the 1 point spread with over 80% confidence. The under 157 appears to be the wager on this game with just over 50%.

Kentucky Wildcats vs. Louisville Cardinals Prediction

Kentucky’s only loss was against UCLA who shot a ridiculous 53% from the field and that’s not a number that Louisville is likely to reach. The Cardinals have played excellent defense this season holding their opponents to 59.4 points per game on 35.9% shooting, but their schedule hasn’t been daunting and the Wildcats are a completely different animal then they have faced. The value in on the visitor who basically just needs to get the victory.

Free Pick: Take the Kentucky Wildcats -1
Bovada

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