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Jacksonville State Gamecocks at Belmont Bruins NCAAB Pick – Betting Odds – Free Betting Prediction

By Keith F
Date: 19/01/2017 8:00 pm
Location: Nashville
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Belmont -9.5
Total: 141.5

The Jacksonville State Gamecocks (12-8) will travel to Nashville to face off with fellow Ohio Valley Conference constituent, Belmont (11-4), scheduled for at 8:00 PM tip off. The game is set to be aired on the Ohio Valley Conference Network.

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Both teams enter on winning notes. For Jacksonville State they have now won three in a row after taking in to Tennessee Tech on their own floor after defeating them by 15. For the Bruins, they continue to smoke everyone they come across as Eastern Kentucky has been their most victim, defeating them 72-59 on Saturday.

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Jacksonville State Gamecocks 12-8 SU, 9-6 ATS
Belmont Bruins 11-4 SU, 7-6 ATS

Jacksonville State at Belmont Key Betting Trends

  • Jacksonville State is 3-0 ATS in the last three fixtures.
  • Belmont is 5-1 SU at home this season.
  • Belmont has won their previous seven overall.
  • Jacksonville State are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road contests.

Public Money Consensus

89% of the public like the Gamecocks against the spread, as they are taking back the points as opposed to spotting them with Belmont. The Over/Under line remains idle at 141.5 with no action on either option.

Jacksonville State vs. Belmont Prediction

We’ve seen Belmont in this position before. The Bruins are virtually a household name at this point when it comes to mid-major programs appearing in the Final Four on basically an annual basis. By virtue of this alone, the Bruins are often overvalued. Belmont is a frequenter of spotting more points than they should be, especially when they are playing host. There are many compelling arguments against spotting the points. First, Jacksonville State edges out Belmont in field goal percentage. When it comes to three-point shooting Jacksonville State is one of the best in the country as they hit 39% from the beyond the arc achieving a 39th ranked national mark. Furthermore, the Gamecocks commit less turnovers, play stronger defense and are the better rebounding team compared to the Bruins both on offense and defense. Jacksonville State is ranked 38th nationally in defensive rebounds. In addition to this, the Bruins are apparently one of the best teams to shoot free throws against as they rank towards the bottom of the list in opponent free throw percentage (357th nationally). Once again this allows a team like Jacksonville State to malinger in this contest which again makes Belmont a dicey team to spot points with. When you factor in all these variables with Belmont’s vulnerability to be overvalued, Jacksonville State is once again situated to bode tremendous value. Even if most of the public has caught on we won’t change our position because it the Gamecocks are now a better team than Belmont has faced previously and even then the Gamecocks have yielded success previously in this distinct situation as a team with a losing record.

Free Pick: Take Jacksonville State +9.5
Bovada

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