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Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Missouri Tigers Free NCAAB Pick – Betting Odds

By Cliff Knox
Date: 23/12/2017 8:00 pm
Location: Scottrade Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Missouri -4
Total: 148.5

The Illinois Fighting Illini (8-5) face the Missouri Tigers (10-2) in a non-conference game that will be held at a neutral site at the Scottrade Center in St. Louis, Missouri at 8:00 PM ET. Missouri are a 4-point home favorite with the total line posted at 148.5 points.

In their last game Illinois lost to New Mexico State 74-69 at a neutral site game. Leron Black came off the bench and was the high scorer for the Fighting Illini with 17 points on 6/11 shooting and also had eight boards and Te’Jon Lucas was the lone starter for the team in double figures with 14 points. Zach Lofton was the high scorer for the Aggies with 23 points on 10/20 shooting and three of five starters for NMSU went for at least 11 points. Illinois was outscored by 12 points in the first half only scoring 26 points and for the game they shot 43.5% and New Mexico State shot 49.2%. The Fighting Illini five-point loss failed to cover the -6.5 point spread and the 143 comined points put on the board fell short of the 146 total line. Illinois has lost five of their last seven games after starting the season 6-0.

Missouri was at home in their last game where they beat Stephen F. Austin 82-81. Kassius Robertson was the high scorer for the Tigers with 23 points on 7/12 shooting hitting five of his nine 3-pointers and Jordan Barnett had 22 points on 6/12 shooting and he also had six rebounds. Kevon Harris was the high scorer for Stephen F. Austin with 19 points on 6/12 shooting and while he hit all four of his 3-pointers he also had four turnovers. Missouri had an eight-point halftime lead and while they committed 21 turnovers they shot a solid FG% of 55.8% and they held Stephen F. Austin to a 49.2 FG%. Missouri’s narrow win fell well short 15.5-point favorite and the 163 combined points shattered the 143.5 total line. The Tigers have won five in a row, but are a poor 1-4 against the spread over that stretch.

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Illinois ranks 50th in the nation in ppg and 150th in opponents’ ppg and Missouri ranks tied for 82nd in ppg and tied for 66th in opponents’ ppg.

These teams met last season at a neutral site where the Fighting Illini beat the Tigers 75-66.

This season Illinois is 5-5 ATS with an O/U record of 3-7 and Missouri is 6-5 ATS with an O/U record of 5-6.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Illinois: 79.22
Missouri: 84.57

INJURY REPORT

ILLINOIS

NONE

MISSOURI

[G] 12/08/2017 – C.J. Roberts is out for season ( Left Team )
(!)[F] 11/22/2017 – Michael Porter Jr. is out for season ( Back )

Illinois at Missouri NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • ILL is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss
  • ILL is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
  • ILL has an Under record of 21-5 in their last 26 games
  • MIZZOU is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games
  • MIZZOU is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games
  • MIZZOU has an Over record of 5-1 in their last 6 neutral site games

Illinois at Missouri Prediction

The week off could hurt Illinois, but I think the fact that they’re coming off a poor performance in their latest against New Mexico State that they’ll come into this game fully focused. They have played well in spots this season and a return to that form could get them not only the cover but possibly the outright win.

Free Pick: Take the Illinois Fighting Illini +4
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