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Florida State Seminoles vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs NCAAB Pick – Odds and Predictions

By Keith F
Date: 22/03/2018 10:05 pm
Location: Los Angeles
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Gonzaga -5.5
Total: 152.5

The Florida State Seminoles and Gonzaga Bulldogs will square off in the Sweet Sixteen of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. The two teams last met in 2010 where Gonzaga defeated FSU by a score of 67-60. The fixture will take place on Thursday, March 22nd, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 10:05 PM ET. The game will come live from the City of Angels when the two teams take the court at the Staples Center in Los Angeles, California.

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The tale of the tape for both sides is far contrasting. Florida State comes in off a win against Missouri followed up by a shocking upset of number one seed Xavier in the second round. Gonzaga has been winning at will and made quick work of UNC-Greensboro and then Ohio State in route to this contest.

Get more details: Florida State at Gonzaga Match-Up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records

Florida State Seminoles, 22-11 SU, 17-13 ATS
Gonzaga Bulldogs, 32-4 SU, 15-17 ATS

Florida State at Gonzaga Key Betting Trends

  • Over is 6-2 ATS in Gonzaga’s last eight neutral site games.
  • Florida State is 3-1 ATS in their last four fixtures overall.
  • Gonzaga is 10-0 SU in their previous ten contests overall.
  • Gonzaga is 6-4 ATS in their last ten markets.

Public Money Consensus

Out of the gate, we have seen a lean by the consensus on the Seminoles. As a result, the market has fallen by 1.5 points to indicate this initial lean. On the contrary, 69% of the cash action is on Gonzaga along with 70% of the ticket action. 56% of the consensus also like the Dogs here in public forums. In Over/Under markets, the figure has dropped by 2.5 points to indicate action on the Under. The Under is currently receiving 67% of the consensus liking this option in forums, as well. On the Money Line, the Noles enter as a +215 underdog while the Bulldogs are priced at -255.

Florida State Seminoles vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs Prediction 03/22/2018

Recency bias is the narrative that is fueling this market. Gonzaga, after all, is the more accomplished team in this tournament, albeit they played for a national championship here just last year. This alone enchants many takers to back the Bulldogs be that Florida State is not really a basketball school. However, the Seminoles have proven otherwise. As a whole, Florida State plays in a tougher conference and is more battle-tested than Gonzaga who simply has its way in the lowly West Coast Conference. Florida State also knocked off a team that was expected to make a deep run into this competition. Gonzaga is also likely to do the same here. The Noles, on the other hand, has already exceeded expectation. This is a quintessential scenario where the hunter becomes “the hunted,” and we will take advantage of the points.

Free Pick: Take Florida State +5.5 (KF)
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