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Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 01/02/2017 8:00 pm
Location: Watsco Center
TV: ACCN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Miami -2
Total: 144.5

The Miami Hurricanes host the 15th ranked Florida Seminoles in an ACC game that will take place at the Watsco Center in Coral Gables, Florida at 8 PM ET. The Hurricanes have climbed from its -2 point opener to -4 listing at most betting shops. The O/U line has held at its 143.5 point opener.

Florida State is coming off an 82-72 loss to Syracuse in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 3-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 154, which was over the closing line of 150. The Seminoles have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games, including their last two, and previous to the Syracuse game the total had gone under in two straight games. Overall, Florida State has lost two games in a row.

Miami is coming of a 77-62 win over a ranked North Carolina team in their last game where they covered the spread as a 5.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 139, which was under the closing line of 149. Previous to the North Carolina game the Hurricanes had failed to cover the spread in three straight games and in their last eight games the total has gone under six times. Miami has won two straight games since losing back-to-back games to Wake Forest and a ranked Duke team.

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Offensively, Florida State is putting up 83.7 points per game, which ranks 18th in the nation, on a 48.2% FG average. On the defense side of the ball the Seminoles are allowing 71.6 points per game on a 39.9% FG average.

Miami is putting up 72.8 points per game on a 46% FG average. On defense the Hurricanes are allowing 62.7 points per game, which ranks 17th in the nation, on a 39.6% FG average.

Last season Miami beat Florida State twice.

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Hurricanes Betting Trends

  • Florida State is 0-5 against the spread in their last 5 games.
  • The Seminoles are 4-6-2 against the spread in their last 12 games against the Hurricanes.
  • The game total has gone under in 4 of Florida State’s last 7 road games in Miami.
  • Miami is 3-8 against the spread in their last 11 games overall.
  • The Hurricanes are 4-9 against the spread in their last 13 homes games against Florida State.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Florida State and Miami Florida have the public leaning to the road Seminoles getting the 2 points with over 65%. The over/under bettors are leaning slightly to this game going over the 144.5 with over 68%.

Florida State Seminoles at Miami Florida Hurricanes Prediction

Florida State has struggled defensively in their last two, but that has been a trend this season on the road where they have allowed 76.8 points per game. Miami has put up 77 and 78 points in their last two games and may be able to duplicate that number in this contest. The Seminoles are rarely held under 70 points but can be contained by a good defense which Miami does posses allowing 60.7 point per game as a host. I would normally fade a team coming off an upset victory, but the metrics support the home club and that’s where my money has landed.

Free Pick: Take the Miami Hurricanes -4
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