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Evansville Purple Aces at Missouri State Bears Betting Prediction

By Keith F
Date: 10/02/2018 3:00 pm
Location: JQH Arena
TV: ESPN3

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Missouri State -7
Total: 129.5

The Evansville Purple Aces and the Missouri State Bears will tussle in a pivotal Missouri Valley Conference collision. The affair will take place on Saturday, February 10th, 2018 with a scheduled tip-off time of 3:00 PM ET. ESPN3 will cover the ESPN3contest. Both teams remain deadlocked in the conference standings with corresponding records of 6-7 in conference play. This series has been a well-balanced one marked by the Purple Aces and Bears splitting the last four games with two wins per side.

Both teams come into this contest on contrasting periods of rest. The Bears are entering this fixture on one more day of rest compared to the visitors in this match. Both outfits come in on individual wins in conference play. For Evansville, the Purple Aces were authors of a big win over Horizon League power Valparaiso when they defeated the Crusaders 63-59. Missouri State architected an 81-62 win at Indiana State in their last outing on February 6th.

Get more details: Evansville at Missouri State Betting Match-up

Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records:

Evansville Purple Aces, 16-10 SU, 14-8 ATS
Missouri State Bears, 16-10 SU, 9-13-1 ATS

Key Betting Trends:

  • Missouri State is 9-3 SU at home this season.
  • Evansville is 2-7 SU on the road this season.
  • Underdog is 15-4-2 ATS in the previous 21 meetings between both parties.
  • Under is 8-3-1 ATS in their previous twelve outings between both contestants.

Search for the best line: Live College Basketball Odds

Public Money:

From the early stages, we have seen what appears to be a lean by the consensus on the Bears. The market has risen by half of a point to reflect this. Presently, the Bears are accompanied by a +106 price tag in this market. In Over/Under markets, the figure has risen by 4.5 points to indicate action on the Over.

Evansville Purple Aces at Missouri State Bears Game Pick

Situational betting is a big part of our strategy. Therefore, fading a steam move particularly against an ascending Total can be quite profitable when the conditions are right. Missouri State owns the more physical unit in the rebounding department, turnovers, and bench. When it comes to defense well, Evansville averages just .1 fewer points per game compared to the counterparts. However, home court advantage resting with the Bears will allow Missouri State to dictate the ebb and flow of the game. Evansville has won just two games this year on the road and chances are the field goal percentage advantage that the Purple Aces own will be nullified here. What this sets up is a scenario where the Total is likely an overlay, and we will step in promptly and target a likely inflated number. We will go forth and ride the current trend in this conference series and back the Under.

Free Pick: Take the UNDER 129.5
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