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Duke Blue Devils at Notre Dame Fighting Irish Pick

By Rich Crew
Date: 28/01/2019 7:00 pm
Location: Joyce Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Duke -13.5
Total: 152.5

Duke travels to South Bend to take on Notre Dame in Monday night NCAA betting action. Tip-off for the match is set for 7 PM ET at the Joyce Center. The betting odds for this game opened with the Blue Devils favored by 14 points, but that has fallen on most boards down to -13.5. The O/U line hit the board at 152.5 and has held at that number at most betting shops.

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Duke

The Blue Devils come into this game off a comfortable 66-53 home victory over the Yellow Jackets, but failed to get the point spread cover as a -23 favorite. The win was Duke’s third straight and their 12th over the last 13 games with their only loss in that stretch coming in overtime versus Syracuse. Against the spread is a different story with the Blue Devils getting the money in just one of their last five.

Notre Dame

The Fighting Irish dropped their four straight and sixth of their last seven with a blowout 82-55 loss at home versus the Cavaliers. The 27-point margin gave Virginia backers laying -12 an easy spread cover and sent Notre Dames ATS record to a dismal 1-7 over their last eight contests. The 137 points scored in the game resulted in the first OVER in five games after stringing together four consecutive UNDERS.

Head to Head Matchups

Duke has had an easy go of it in the last two seasons winning all four games in the series and getting the against the spread win each game. The total has favored the OVER in recent matches with five of the last six going over the closing line.

Duke at Notre Dame Betting Trends

  • Duke is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke’s last 6 games when playing on the road against Notre Dame

Duke at Notre Dame Prediction 1/28/19

I don’t think that anyone of sound mind would forecast an upset in this game, but the nearly two touchdowns spread on this game is not something I feel comfortable laying. In my opinion, the total on this game is where the value lies. The Irish rank 102nd in home scoring defense and are facing the 5th best road scoring offense of the Blue Devils. ND doesn’t pressure well averaging a puny 5.35 steals a game making a score in the n90’s for Duke a strong possibility. The injury to Forward Juwan Durham and his blocking ability adds more to the argument. Syracuse skews the number, but Duke has allowed 70.4 points per game in ACC games, and we may need only a mid 60’s score by the Irish to surpass the line.

Free Pick: Take the OVER 152.5
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