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Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 27/01/2017 9:00 pm
Location: Siegel Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: VCU -4
Total: 136.5

The VCU Rams host the Dayton Flyers in an Atlantic 10 game that will take place at the Stuart C. Siegel Center in Richmond, Virginia at 9 PM ET. Dayton has won 15 of their 19 games on the season and they have covered the spread in 11 of the 17 games that have had a posted line. VCU has won 15 of their 20 games this season and they have failed to cover the spread in nine of the 16 games that have had a posted line.

Dayton is coming off a 67-46 win over St. Louis in their last game where they failed to cover the 23.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 113, which was under the closing line of 130. Previous to the St. Louis game the Flyers had covered the spread in two straight games and in their last five games the total has gone under every time. Overall, Dayton has won eight of their last nine games including their last three.

VCU is coming off a 90-52 blowout win over LaSalle in their last game where they covered the 7-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 142, which was under the closing line of 152. Previous to the LaSalle game the Rams had failed to cover the spread in two straight games and in four of their last five games the total has gone under. VCU had lost two straight games before the win over LaSalle.

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Offensively, Dayton is putting up 75 points per game on a 45.7% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Flyers are allowing 63.5 points per game on a 40% FG average.

VCU is putting up 75.6 points per game on a 47.8% FG average. On defense the Rams are allowing 65.3 points per game on a 41.8% FG average.

Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which took place at Dayton, the Flyers beat the Rams 68-67 in OT.

Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams Betting Trends

  • Dayton is 6-2 against the spread in their last 8 games.
  • The Flyers are 1-4 against the spread in their last 5 games against the Rams.
  • The game total has gone over in 8 of Dayton’s last 12 road games.
  • VCU is 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 home games.
  • The rams are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Dayton and VCU have the public leaning slightly to VCU minus the 4 points at 56%. The over/under bettors believe this game will go under the posted total line of 136.5 with just over 55%.

Dayton Flyers at VCU Rams Prediction

Both teams play solid defense at home sand on the road, but VCU has a big edge in offensive shooting at home. The Rams have shot an impressive 50.3% from the field and have averaged 81.4 points per game at the Siegel Center this season. VCU has dominated their competition at home with a scoring margin of just under 20 points per game and I’ll call for them to extend the margin enough tonight to get the point spread cover.

Free Pick: Take VCU -5
Bovada

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