umass-minutemen-matt-cross

Dartmouth at Massachusetts Odds & Predictions

By Rich Crew
Date: 20/12/2022 7:00 pm
Location: William D. Mullins Center
TV: NESN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Dart +13/UMass -13
Total: 139.5

UMass hosts a struggling Dartmouth team who appears overmatched when facing Division 1 opponents. The college
basketball board has the Minutemen as a -13 favorite, and we may see that climb as we get closer
to game time. The total is on the board at 139.5 points.

LineMovement

Opening Lines: Dartmouth Opened At +12.5, Currently +13/ Massachusetts Opened At -12.5,
Currently -13

Last Game Info

Dartmouth lost to South Florida in their last game by a score of 59-55. But because the Big
Green were +13 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 114 points did not
surpass the 132 total line.

Massachusetts lost to North Texas in their last game by a score of 62-44. But because the
Minutemen were +4.5 point underdogs, they finished with an ATS win. The combined 106 points did
not surpass the 124.5 total line.

Current Form

Dartmouth

Over their last five games, Dartmouth has a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the
spread. Over this stretch, the Big Green offense averages 59.0 points per game while hitting
39.4% of their shots from the field. On the defensive end of the floor, they have allowed
opponents to shoot 41.8% from the field while allowing 61.4 points per contest.

Massachusetts

In their previous five contests, Massachusetts is 3-2 straight-up and 3-2 vs. the spread. In
these five games, they have a scoring average of 70.6 points per game on a shooting percentage of
41.4%. Defensively, they are allowing teams to hit 42.0% of their shots while giving up 68.8
points per game.

Average Power Rating Of Opponents Played

This season, the combined power rating of Dartmouth’s opponents comes in at 200. On the other
side, Massachusetts’ combined opponent power rating sits at 154.

How Does Dartmouth Fare On The Road?

For the season, the Big Green has played eight road games and has a record of 1-7. In these
contests, Dartmouth is 2-5 vs. the spread. Offensively, they have averaged 62.6 points per game
on a shooting percentage of 38.7%. On defense, the Big Green allow 71.6 points per contest when
playing away from home. So far, opposing teams have a field goal percentage of 43.3% in these
games.

How Does Massachusetts Fare At Home?

In their seven games at home, Massachusetts has a 4-3 record vs. the spread while going 4-3
straight-up. On offense, the Minutemen are shooting 42.7% on their home floor, leading to 71.0
points per game. Defensively, opponents are shooting 41.3% in these contests. The Massachusetts
defense is allowing 67.6 points per game at home.

Offense vs. Defense

For the season, Dartmouth is averaging 70.1 points per game (236th) while posting an overall
field goal percentage of 42.8%. In today’s game, they will be matched up against a Massachusetts
defense that has allowed an average of 66.5 points per contest. This year, opponents have hit
41.9% of their shots vs. Massachusetts. On the other side, the Massachusetts Minutemen are coming
into the game averaging 75.7 points per game on a shooting percentage of 43.3%. The Minutemen
will be facing a defensive unit allowing an average of 67.5 points per contest. So far, teams
have hit 40.9% of their shots vs. the Big Green.

Three-Point Shooting

From beyond the arc, Dartmouth has a shooting percentage of 34.6% while ranking 104th in
attempts per game. The Big Green will be facing a Massachusetts defense that has a 3-point field
goal shooting percentage allowed of 29.5%. Massachusetts enters the game, having hit 37.0% of
their looks from deep while averaging 9.5 made 3’s per game. On the other end, Dartmouth has
allowed opponents to hit 32.0% of their shots from beyond the arc.

Injuries Of Note

Dartmouth

  • No Reported Injuries

Massachusetts

  • Noah Fernandes (Doubtful) Undisclosed
  • Ta’Quan Woodley (Out) Personal

Dartmouth at Massachusetts Pick 12/20/22

I like the Minutemen here, but I’m not comfortable laying this

  big of a line. Neither team shoots the ball well—especially the Big Green, whose shooting

  numbers are dismal against Division teams. The Under seems like the play here, and that’s exactly

  where my money is going to land. Take the Under 139.5

Free Pick: Take the Under 139.5
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