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Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU Mustangs NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free Point Spread Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 12/02/2017 4:00 pm
Location: Moody Coliseum-Dallas
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: SMU -5
Total: 125.5

The 25th ranked SMU Mustangs host the 11th ranked Cincinnati Bearcats in an AAC game that will take place at the Moody Coliseum in Dallas, Texas at 4 PM ET. The SMU Mustangs hit the odds board as -5.5 point spread favorite over the Cincinnati Bearcats, but that line has since dropped to -3.5 at some books. The total line is currently listed at 129 points up substantially from its opener

Cincinnati is coming off a 60-50 win over Central Florida in their last game where they failed to cover the spread as a 12.5-point favorite. The total number of points scored in the game was 110, which was under the closing line of 128.5. In the Bearcats last three games they have failed to cover the spread twice and the total has gone under twice. Overall, Cincinnati has won 15 straight games.

SMU is coming off a 66-50 win over Temple in their last game where they covered the 7.5-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 116, which was under the closing line of 134.5. The Mustangs have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games, including their last six, and in three of their last four games, including their last two, the total has gone under. SMU has won 17 of their last 18 games, including their last eight, with the only loss in that span coming against Cincinnati.

Offensively, Cincinnati is putting up 77 points per game on a 47.2% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Bearcats are allowing 61.3 points per game, which ranks 6th in the nation, on a 37.2% FG average, which ranks 4th in the nation.

SMU is putting up 73.2 points per game on a 46.2% FG average. On defense the Mustangs are allowing 58.3 points per game, which ranks 3rd in the nation, on a 38.5% FG average, which ranks 8th in the nation.

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These teams met at Cincinnati on January 12th where the Bearcats beat the Mustangs 66-64.

Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU Mustangs Betting Trends

  • Cincinnati is 4-2 against the spread in their last 6 games overall.
  • The Bearcats are 4-1 against the spread in their last 5 games against SMU.
  • The game total has gone under in 4 of Cincinnati’s last 5 road games.
  • SMU is 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games overall.
  • The Mustangs are 5-0 straight up in their last 5 home games.

Public Money Consensus

In this NCAAB matchup between Cincinnati and Southern Methodist have the public leaning to the Bearcats minus the 5 points with 67% on board. The over/under bettors are definitively leaning to this game going over the 125.5 points with over 75%.

Cincinnati Bearcats at SMU Mustangs Prediction

These two clubs played a close one in Cincinnati with the Bearcats prevailing by a slim two point margin and now the venue switches to the Moody Coliseum-Dallas. Smu is unbeaten at home this season crushing their opponents by an average margin of 22 points and against AAC opponets the lowest margin of victory was 14 points. Cincinnati is a handful, but here is a key metric to ponder. The Bearcats average 28.4% from behind the arc on the road and in their 2-point home win over the Mustangs they shot a brilliant 46.2 from 3-point land and are unlikely to beanywhere near that number today. Lay the points.

Free Pick: Take the SMU Mustangs -4
Bovada

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