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California Golden Bears vs. USC Trojans NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction

By Cliff Knox
Date: 08/01/2017 10:00 pm
Location: Galen Center
TV: ESPNU

Betting Odds



Point Spread: USC -3.5
Total: 139.5

The 25th ranked USC Trojans host the California Golden Bears in a Pac 12 game that will take place at the Galen Center in Los Angeles, California at 10 PM ET. California has won 10 of their 15 games this season and they have failed to cover the spread in nine of those games. USC has won 15 of their 16 games and they have covered the spread in eight of the 15 games that have had a posted line.

California is coming off an 81-71 loss to 2nd ranked UCLA in their last game where they covered the spread as a 10.5-point underdog. The total number of points scored in the game was 152, which was under the closing line of 155. The Golden Bears have covered the spread in their last two games while failing to do so in their previous two games. Before the UCLA game the total had gone over in two straight games. Cal has lost three of their last four games with all losses coming against ranked teams.

USC is coming off a 72-56 win over Stanford in their last game where they covered the nine-point line. The total number of points scored in the game was 128, which was under the closing line of 143. Previous to the Stanford game the Trojans had failed to cover the spread in six straight games. In their last three games the total has gone under every time. Previous to the win over Stanford, USC lost their first game of the season falling to a ranked Oregon team.

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Offensively, California is putting up 70.9 points per game on a 43.9% FG average. On defense the Golden Bears are allowing 61.7 points per game, which ranks 20th in the nation, on a 37.9% FG average, which ranks 10th in the nation.

USC is putting up 80.3 points per game on a 45.1% FG average. On the defensive side of things the Trojans are allowing 69.7 points per game on a 39.4% FG average.

Last season in the lone match up between these teams, which was at California, the Golden Bears beat the Trojans 87-65.

California Golden Bears vs. USC Trojans Betting Trends

  • California is 1-4 straight up in their last 5 road games.
  • The game total has gone under in 6 of California’s last 8 road games.
  • USC is 1-6 against the spread in their last 7 games.
  • The Trojans are 2-7 straight up in their last 9 games against California.
  • The game total has gone over in 6 of USC’s last 8 games against California.

Public Money Consensus

In todays NCAAB matchup between California and USC the public is heavily loading up on USC covering the 3.5 points by over 80% confidence. The over/under bettors are laying their money on this game going over the 139.5 points with over 65%.

California Golden Bears at USC Trojans Prediction

The Trojans have averaged 80.3 points per game this season and that number goes up a couple of points at home where they have scored 82.8. Defensively as a host they’ve kept opponents to 66.6 points, but the competition for the most part has been lacking. Cal has had just one true road this season and while the team didn’t shoot well based on average they did put up 71 points against UCLA.

Free Pick: Take the Over 138.5
Bovada

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