California-Davis Aggies at Long Beach State 49ers NCAAB Betting Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction
Date: 16/02/2017 10:00 pm
Point Spread: Long Beach State -4
The California-Davis Aggies and the Long Beach State 49ers will meet again in a Big West contest set for a 10:00 PM tip-off. The game will be televised on Big West TV. The Aggies and 49ers have not met this season but Long Beach State has won the previous two meetings between both parties. The 49ers come in off a five-point defeat against Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. For Davis, the current leaders of the Big West, they are riding a nice 8-2 run in their previous ten games. The Aggies are 8-2 in Big West play.
Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records
California-Davis Aggies, 16-9 SU, 12-9 ATS
Long Beach State 49ers, 11-6 SU, 7-15 ATS
California-Davis at Long Beach State Key Betting Trends
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California-Davis is 6-6 SU on the road this season.
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California-Davis is 3-9 ATS in the last 12 fixtures against Long Beach State.
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Long Beach State is 8-1 SU at home this season.
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Favorite is 4-2 ATS in the last six contests.
Public Money Consensus
Presently 99% of the public like Long Beach State against the spread. Davis requires juice in this market at -115 with points as opposed to Long Beach State who are more affably priced at +105. The market has remained idle despite initial propensities for the public to cause a line movement. In Over/Under markets, the number has descended from 152.5 to 150, revealing heavy action on the Under at this time.
California-Davis Aggies at Long Beach State 49ers Prediction
It’s a rare situation when you get a chance to take back a conference leader with points. When the opportunity emerges in situations like this, it screams value. Normally we would have trepidation about going anywhere near Davis, given the fact they are currently slated in many brackets as the declared Big West winner and representative for March Madness. As a result of this, we have faded Davis in the past because of the vulnerability this team has for overreactions and inflated points. However, in this situation the opposite may have happened and the Aggies may actually be undervalued. In four of five major defensive statistical categories, Long Beach State are ranked in the mid to low 300’s. This sample includes, opponent field goal percentage, opponent three-point field goal percentage, opponent points per game and opponent free throw percentage. This is a club that is also stronger in the rebound department and commit less turnovers compared to Long Beach State. This is the true difference maker between the two teams. UC Davis is likely one of the most improved basketball teams in all of America and Long Beach State should beware be that this is a club with a solid chance of winning the Big West as expected.
Free Pick: Take California Davis +4
