California-Davis Aggies at Cal Poly SLO Mustangs NCAAB Pick – Odds – Free ATS Prediction
Date: 02/02/2017 11:00 pm
Location: San Luis Obispo
Point Spread: California-Davis -1.5
The California-Davis Aggies and the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs will square off in a Big West collision set for an 11:00 PM tip-off. The game will be broadcasted on Big West TV. Currently, the Aggies have won seven of their previous eight in this intra-state rivalry series. The Aggies have taken sole possession of the top of the Big West standings after they defeated California-Irvine in Davis, last week. Cal Poly’s last win was a 13 point victory against this same California-Irvine club.
Straight Up and Against the Point Spread Records
California-Davis Aggies, 13-8 SU, 10-7 ATS
Cal Poly SLO Mustangs, 6-15 SU, 5-12 ATS
California-Davis at Cal Poly Key Betting Trends
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California-Davis is 7-1 SU in their last 8 matches overall.
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California-Davis is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings with Big West opposition.
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Cal Poly is 4-17 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Public Money Consensus
Currently a remarkable 98% of the public like UC-Davis against the spread. The initial offering in this market was as high as 2.5 and overall we have seen this market move by at least half of a point. In Over/Under markets, the number has remained idle at 137.5.
California-Davis Aggies at Cal Poly SLO Mustangs Prediction
Last week it was Irvine. Now it is Davis’ position at the top of the Big West standings which is fueling this market. We have previously discussed how such situations can influence asking price of any given team. Cal Poly will show no timidity as they had no qualms taking down Irvine when they saw fit as Irvine came in to San Luis Obispo and fell in grisly fashion. The environment will once again be rocking as this one will more or less be for pride for the Mustangs. For Davis they transition from the role of the hunter to the hunted as the result they fostered against UCI has placed a huge target on their back. Such a result is also bound to foster an overreaction by the general public given the fact the Aggies are bound to be a trendy play given what they recently pulled off.
We urge takers to beware. The Big West is a conference full of parody and is a very bottom-heavy conference. More or less laying points in any capacity is a risky venture, especially when the team in question is the away team. The Cal Poly/UCI contest typifies this narrative. This market assessment is accurate and not skewed by any means. Though Davis may now be a #16 seed in some bracketologist’s predicted brackets, Cal Poly may have other ideas and look to take down the next team standing on top of the Big West hill. Do not be shocked if Cal Poly strikes again.
Free Pick: Take Cal Poly SLO +1.5
