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Baylor Bears vs. Texas Longhorns Odds Analysis – Prediction ATS

By Rich Crew
Date: 12/02/2018 9:00 pm
Location: Frank Erwin Center
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Baylor +3 / Texas -3
Total: 133.5

The Texas Longhorns (15-10) host the Baylor Bears (15-10) in a Big 12 game at the Frank Erwin Center in Austin, Texas on Monday, February 12, 2018, at 9:00 PM ET. Texas is the 3-point home favorite with the total sitting at 133.5.

In their latest Baylor was at home and came up with a big upset beating the 10th ranked Kansas 80-64. The 16-point shellacking of the Jayhawks gave the +2.5 Bears an easy point spread cover and the 144 points put up on the board by the two clubs slipped UNDER the 146 total line. Jo Lual-Acuil Jr. led the Bears in scoring going for 19 points on 9 of 17 shooting and also had six rebounds. Devonte’ Graham was the high scorer for the Jayhawks putting up 23 points on 8 of 17 shooting and reserve Malik Newman was the only other player on the team to go for double figures with 14 points. Baylor outscored Kansas by 10 points in the first half, holding them to only 20 points! For the game, they shot 56.6% from the floor, and they kept the Jayhawks to 39.7% shooting. After a four-game losing streak, Baylor has strung together three wins to move their Big 12 record to 5-7.

Texas was on the road in their last game where they crushed by TCU 87-71. Mohamed Bamba was the top scorer for the Longhorns with 23 points on 9 of 16 shooting, and Eric Davis Jr. came off the bench to contribute 16 points and was the only other player for the squad to go for double figures. Vladimir Brodziansky was the high scorer for the Horned Frogs with 25 points on 11 of 19 shooting and four starters for the team went for at least 11 points. Texas shot 51.9% from the floor, and they allowed TCU to shoot 54.8% and a 3-pt FG% of 50%. The Longhorns failed to cover the spread as a 5.5-point underdog, and the total sailed OVER the closing line of 141.5. Texas has lost two in a row, and three of their last four games and is 5-7 in Big 12 play.

Baylor is ranked 92nd in the nation in ppg and tied for 102nd in opponents’ ppg, and Texas ranks 229th in ppg and 62nd in opponents’ ppg.

These teams met this season on January 6th at Baylor where the Bears beat the Longhorns 69-60.

This season Baylor is 11-7 ATS with an O/U record of 6-11-1 and Texas is 11-10 ATS with an O/U record of 10-10-1.

Get more details: Baylor at Texas Betting Match-Up

SAGARIN RATINGS

Baylor: 86.08
Texas: 84.28

INJURY REPORT

BAYLOR
[F] 11/13/2017 – Leonard Allen is out indefinitely ( Personal )

TEXAS
(!)[G] 01/10/2018 – Andrew Jones is out for season ( Illness )

Key Betting Trends

  • BAY is 4-0 ATS in their last four games
  • BAY is 20-8 ATS in their previous 28 road games
  • BAY has an Under record of 7-2-1 in their last ten road games
  • TEX is 5-1 ATS in their last six home games
  • TEX is 7-3 ATS in their last ten games
  • TEX has an Over record of 4-1 in their previous five games

Search for the best line: Live College Basketball Odds

Bears vs. Longhorns Betting Angles

Baylor is 4-1 ATS in their last five games against Texas.

Baylor is 5-0 ATS in their last five road games against Texas.

The road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven games between these teams.

In the last eight games between these teams at Texas, the Over record is 5-2-1.

Baylor vs. Texas Point Spread Analysis 2/12/2018

Baylor sure is playing outstanding defense in their three-game win streak, holding the opposition to 62.3 points on a field goal average of 37.04%. They face a Texas team that they held to 60 points on a 35.3 FG% when they visited in early January. The Bears are just 1-7 on the road this season and 1-5 as a visitor in conference games, but they are a strong 4-2 against the spread in those Big 12 games. They could bounce here off the big win on Saturday, and that is the typical position I’d take, but I they are playing fantastically on both ends of the floor and could regress here and still get the point spread cover

Free Pick: Take the Baylor Bears (RC)
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