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Wisconsin Badgers vs. Maryland Terrapins NCAAB Pick – Odds and Game Analysis

By Rich Crew
Date: 04/02/2018 1:00 pm
Location: Xfinity Center
TV: FSN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Maryland -8.5
Total: 132.5

The Maryland Terrapins (15-9) host the (10-14) in a Big 10 game at the XFINITY Center in College Park, Maryland on Sunday, February 4, 2018, at 1:00 PM ET. Maryland has opened as an 8.5-point home favorite over Wisconsin with the total line on the NCAA board at 132.5 points.

In their latest, Wisconsin was at home where they were defeated by Northwestern 60-52. The eight-point loss by the resulted in a point spread loss for the home squad and the 112 points scored fell 15 points below the closing total line. In the contest, Khalil Iverson was the top scorer for the Badgers picking up 15 points on 5/8 shooting, and he also added rebounds. Dererk Pardon was the high scorer for the Wildcats with 17 points on 8 of 8 shooting. Wisconsin was outscored by 11 points in the opening half and got within six before going down by eight. For the game, they shot an embarrassing 32.8% from the floor while they allowed Northwestern to shoot 50%. Wisconsin has lost four in a row and seven of their last eight games with their lone victory coming against bottom-feeding Illinois. They’re 3-8 in Big Ten action this season including in that number is a 1-5 record on the road.

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Maryland traveled to West Lafayette to take on Purdue and gave a good account themselves but came up short losing 75-67 to the 3rd Ranked Boilermakers. The Terrapins covered the spread as a 14-point underdog, and the total of 142 points slid UNDER the 144.5 O/U line. Bruno Fernando was the top scorer for the Terrapins putting up 20 points on 8/12 shooting also grabbing ten rebounds, and he was one of only two players on the team that went for double figures. Isaac Haas was the high scorer for the Boilermakers with 20 points on 8/14 shooting, and he also had nine rebounds. Maryland was outscored by 11 points in the first half and got within three points in the middle of the second before falling by eight. For the game, they shot 45.3% from the floor and held Purdue to a 44.8 FG%. Maryland has lost three in a row and five of their last six games and bring a 4-7 in Big 10 play record into this game.

Wisconsin ranks 311th in the nation in ppg and 43rd in opponents’ ppg, and Maryland ranks 128th in ppg and 65th in opponents’ ppg.

This is the first game between these teams this season, and last season in the lone match-up, which was at Wisconsin, the Badgers beat the Terrapins 71-60.

This season Wisconsin is 8-14-1 ATS with an O/U record of 10-11-2 and Maryland is 12-7-1 ATS with an O/U record of 8-11.

SAGARIN RATINGS

Wisconsin: 79.12
Maryland: 84.50

INJURY REPORT

WISCONSIN

[G] 12/11/2017 – Kobe King is out for season ( Knee )
[G] 01/29/2018 – D’Mitrik Trice is out indefinitely ( Foot )

MARYLAND

(!)[G] 02/03/2018 – Anthony Cowan is probable Sunday vs. Wisconsin ( Thumb )
[G] 02/03/2018 – Dion Wiley is “?” Sunday vs. Wisconsin ( Ankle )
[C] 02/03/2018 – Michal Cekovsky is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. Wisconsin ( Leg )
[F] 12/31/2017 – Ivan Bender is out for season ( Knee )
[F] 12/28/2017 – Justin Jackson is out for season ( Shoulder )

Wisconsin at Maryland NCAAB Key Betting Trends

  • WISC is 2-6 ATS in their last eight games
  • WISC is 1-4-1 ATS in their previous six road games
  • WISC has an Under record of 6-2-1 in their last nine games
  • MARY is 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven home games
  • MARY is 3-1-1 ATS in their previous five games
  • MARY has an Under record of 5-0 in their last five games

Badgers vs. Terrapins Betting Angles

The home team is 7-2 ATS in the last nine games between these teams.

In the last four games between these teams, the Under record is 3-0-1.

Wisconsin at Maryland Prediction 2/4/18

On the road, in conference games, the Badgers are 1-5 straight up and 2-3 against the spread. Their ATS mark on the road in Big Ten games isn’t terrible at first glance, but the point spread covers came on December 4th against Penn State and in a 15-point loss as a 17-point underdog against Michigan State. Wisconsin has lost it’s last three road games by 15, 18 and 28 points and face a team that has two losses at home this season. Maryland is also a moneymaker as a host is in Big Ten games registering a 3-1-1 record versus the betting line with the loss and push coming against top rivals Purdue and Michigan State. The line is a little high for my liking, but the Terrapins last two home wins were by 11 over the Gophers and 18 over the Hawkeyes, so I’m willing to go light on the home side.

Free Pick: Take Maryland -8.5 (RC)
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