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Florida State Seminoles vs. Missouri Tigers NCAAB Tournament Pick – Odds

By Rich Crew
Date: 16/03/2018 9:50 pm
Location: Bridgestone Arena
TV: ESPN

Betting Odds



Point Spread: Florida State -1.5
Total: 147.5

In the first round of the NCAA Tournament in the West Region, the 9th seed Florida State Seminoles (20-11) face the 8th seed Missouri Tigers (20-12) in a game held of the Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tennessee.

Tip-off for this neutral court game is at 9:50 PM ET Friday, March 16. On the odds board, Florida State is the 1.5-point favorite with the total offered up at 147.5 points.

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In their latest, Florida State lost to Louisville in the 2nd round of the ACC tournament 82-74 as a -2.5 point spread favorite. The against the spread loss was the Seminoles seventh in their last eight games and the 156 points scored by the two squads sent the game OVER the total line. The reserves of Trent Forrest and PJ Savoy, neither of which are averaging over 8 ppg on the season, were the high scorers for the Seminoles each scoring 14 points.

Florida State was outscored by 19 points in the first half and scored a bunch of points late in the game to make the game appear closer than what it was. For the game, they shot 44.3% while they allowed Louisville to shoot 50.8% from the field. The Seminoles have lost three of their last four games and on the season are 3-2 in games held at a neutral site.

Missouri was defeated by Georgia in their last game 62-60 in the second round of the SEC tournament. The Tigers failed to cover the spread as a -3.5 betting favorite and the142 combined points put on the board went comfortably above the 131.5 closing total line.

In the game, reserve Jontay Porter was the high scorer for the Tigers scoring 20 points on 5 of 8 shooting and star freshman Michael Porter Jr. added 12 points in his first full game of the season but was only 5 of 17 from the field. Missouri was outscored by nine points in the first half putting up just 24 points but battled hard to the buzzer in the defeat. The shooting wasn’t a strong point for either team with Mizzou hitting on 34.4% and Georgia 38.2%. Missouri had won two in a row before their loss to Georgia and is 2-3 this season in games held at a neutral site.

Florida State ranks 29th n the nation in ppg and 234th in opponents’ ppg, and Missouri ranks tied for 186th in ppg and 65th in opponents’ ppg.

This game is the first-ever meeting between these teams.

This season Florida State is 15-13-1 ATS with an O/U record of 17-12 and Missouri is 16-15 ATS with an O/U record of 12-19.

Get more details: Florida State at Missouri NCAAB Match-Up

SAGARIN RATINGS

Florida State: 84.48
Missouri: 83.72

INJURY REPORT

FLORIDA STATE

NONE

MISSOURI

[G] 02/20/2018 – Terrence Phillips is out for season ( Suspension )
[G] 03/11/2018 – Cullen VanLeer is “?” Friday vs. Florida State ( Knee )
[G] 03/11/2018 – Jordan Geist is probable Friday vs. Florida State ( Illness )
[F] 03/11/2018 – Jordan Barnett is downgraded to OUT Friday vs. Florida State ( Legal problems )
[G] 12/08/2017 – C.J. Roberts is out for season ( Left Team )
[G] 01/09/2018 – Blake Harris is out for season ( Left Team )

Florida State at Missouri Key Betting Trends

  • FSU is 1-7 ATS in their last eight games
  • FSU is 8-2 ATS in their previous ten non-conference games
  • FSU has an Over record of 5-2 in their last seven games
  • MIZZOU is 1-5 ATS in their last six non-conference games
  • MIZZOU is 5-1 ATS in their previous six games against teams from the ACC
  • MIZZOU has an Under record of 8-3 in their last 11 games

Florida State vs. Missouri NCAA Tournament Pick ATS

The Seminoles have had their issues putting points on the board tallying 75 or fewer in regulation six of their last eight games and face a decent defensive club in the Tigers. Mizzou has done a brilliant job slowing down the game keeping their opponents shooting opportunities to 57 or fewer in five of their last six. That said, the Tigers will be without Forward Jordan Barnett who is serving a suspension, and that is a big blow to the offense and defense. Barnett is one of the top scorers and one of the better defenders on this team, and while the UNDER does hold some value, his absence is a big break for the Seminoles.

Free Pick: Take Florida State -1.5 (RC)
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