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Toronto Raptors vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Analysis – Free Pick

By Cliff Knox

The Oklahoma City Thunder (19-15) host the Toronto Raptors (23-9) in a non-conference match up that will take place at the Chesapeake Energy Arena in Oklahoma City, OK at 8:00 PM ET. The Thunder are the 4-point home favorite with the total sitting at 209.5.

In their last game the Raptors were on the road in Dallas where they lost to the Mavericks 98-93. Kyle Lowry was the high scorer for Toronto with 23 points on 6/17 shooting hitting four of his eight 3-pointers and only three players for the team scored in double figures. J.J. Barea came off the bench and was the high scorer for Dallas with 20 points on 9/18 shooting and four players for the club had at least 15 points and Harrison Barnes went for a double-double with 16 points and 10 rebounds. The Raptors played solid defense holding the Mavericks to 42-6% shooting, but they couldn’t find the mark shooting just 33.7% from the floor. Toronto failed to cover the spread as a 6-point favorite and the total points scored of 191 fell well under the closing line of 209. The Raptors had their six-game winning streak snapped with their loss to the Mavs.

The Thunder were at home in their latest where they come up with a 112 -107 win. Russell Westbrook was the high scorer for Oklahoma City with 31 points on 12/24 shooting and he also had 11 assists and six rebounds and three starters for the team had at least 20 points. James Harden was the high scorer for Houston with 29 points on 7/18 shooting and he also had 14 assists and eight rebounds. The Thunder outscored the Rockets by five points in the 4th quarter and for the game they shot 54.4% from the floor and Houston shot 43.2%. Oklahoma City covered the spread as a 2.5-point favorite with the total going Under. The Thunder have won five in a row and seven of their last eight games.

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The Raptors are 11-8 on the road this season and they rank tied for 3rd in ppg, tied for 22nd in 3-pt FG%, and 9th in free throw percentage. On defense Toronto ranks 9th in ppg allowed, 7th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 17th in free-throw percentage allowed.

The Thunder are 13-4 at home this season and they rank 21st in ppg, tied for 19th in 3-pt FG%, and 29th in free throw percentage. On defense Oklahoma City ranks 3rd in ppg allowed, 9th in 3-pt FG% allowed, and 11th in free-throw percentage allowed.

This is the first match-up this season between these teams and last season they split the two games with each winning on the road.

Key Betting Trends

  • The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The Raptors are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • The Raptors have an Under record of 14-6 in their last 20 games against a team with a winning home record.
  • The Thunder are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games.
  • The Thunder are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
  • The Thunder have an Under record of 4-1 in their last 5 games.

Toronto at Oklahoma City Betting Angles

The Raptors are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games against the Thunder.

The Raptors are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games against the Thunder.

The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 games between these teams.

The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 games between these teams.

In the last 7 games between these teams at Oklahoma City the Under record is 6-1.

Free Pick: Take the Oklahoma City -4
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