The Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Ball Arena. The NBA board has this line on this game all over the place with some shops posting as low as -13.5 spread while a few have this game as high as -14.4 making shopping around for lines an important step before getting down on this game.
Probable Starting Lineups
Oklahoma City Thunder PG Tre Mann, SG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Q, SF Aaron Wiggins, PF Darius Bazley, C Isaiah Roby
Denver Nuggets PG Monte Morris, SG Will Barton, SF Aaron Gordon, PF Jeff Green, C Nikola Jokic
Key Injuries
Oklahoma City Thunder Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Jeremiah Robinson-Earl: Foot (OUT) Derrick Favors: Back (OUT) Ty Jerome: Hip (OUT) Luguentz Dort: Shoulder (OUT) Mike Muscala: Ankle (OUT) Kenrich Williams: Knee (OUT) Josh Giddey: Hip (OUT)
Denver Nuggets Michael Porter Jr.: Back (OUT) Vlatko Cancar: Foot (OUT) Zeke Nnaji: Knee (OUT)
Recent Form
The Oklahoma City Thunder come into this game with an overall record of 21-52, placing them 14th in the Western Conference. Throughout the season, Oklahoma City has struggled in their 36 road contests, sitting at 11-25. Over the Thunder’s last five games, they have picked up just 1 win. During this stretch, Oklahoma City is averaging 111.0 points per game, 8.0 points more than their season average of 103.3. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 109.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Thunder are allowing an average of 113.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 110.9. In the Oklahoma City Thunder’ most recent game, Oklahoma City took down Orlando by a score of 118-102
The Denver Nuggets come into this game with an overall record of 43-31, placing them 6th in the Western Conference. So far, Denver is above .500 at home, holding a record of 21-15. Over the Nuggets’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. During this stretch, Denver is averaging 121.0 points per game, 9.0 points more than their season average of 111.8. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 107.0 points per contest. A key reason for the Nuggets’ recent struggles is a defensive unit giving up 121.0 points over their last five contests. This figure is up from their season average of 109.4. In the Denver Nuggets’ most recent game, the team fell to Phoenix by a score of 140-130.
Individual Player Analysis
As Oklahoma City travels to take on the Denver Nuggets, the Thunder’ leading scorer is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Through 57 games, Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 24 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 56.0% of his games. Against the Nuggets, Gilgeous-Alexander will need to be on top of his game as Denver is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 40.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Nikola Jokic leads the Nuggets in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 68 games. Throughout the season, Jokic has outscored his season average in 43.0% of his outings. On the season, the Thunder have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.27% of their games, giving them a rank of 14th among NBA defenses.
Matchup Analysis
Heading into this matchup, the Denver Nuggets are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 18 of Denver’s 71 games, leading to a winning percentage of 78%. So far, the Oklahoma City Thunder have played 19 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 19 times, by an average margin of -17.0 points.
- Get more details: Thunder vs. Nuggets 3/26/22 Betting Matchup Stats
The Historicals
Heading into today’s matchup, the Oklahoma City Thunder and Denver Nuggets have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Oklahoma City picked up a 119-107 win.
How the Public is Betting the Thunder vs Nuggets
67% are betting the Nuggets against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 226.0
Betting Trends Worth Noting
- Thunder are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Thunder are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
- Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
- Nuggets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall.
